--- title: "Stellar case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Stellar ($707.67) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 77.43% over 152 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/stellar rendered: 2026-11-13T05:19Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Stellar](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/stellar) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Stellar A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/stellar?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/stellar?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/stellar) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/stellar?window=all) Price · $707.67 · 1,011 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 77.43% · 152 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 66 openings · below min 30 days · 152 openings · below min since tracking started · 152 openings · below min 52.5% 89.5% 126.5% **Small sample.** 152 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/stellar?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/stellar?window=7d) | 66 | 92.65% ±33.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/stellar) | 152 | 77.43% ±24.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/stellar?window=all) | 152 | 77.43% ±24.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · Knives · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $708 1,011 coins $9,142 13,060 coins 12.92x 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $708 1,011 coins $5,142 7,346 coins 7.27x 2026-11-03 23:09 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $708 1,011 coins $3,565 5,093 coins 5.04x 2026-11-08 19:02 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $708 1,011 coins $3,565 5,093 coins 5.04x 2026-11-07 07:06 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $708 1,011 coins $3,565 5,093 coins 5.04x 2026-11-07 03:08 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $708 1,011 coins $3,117 4,452 coins 4.40x 2026-11-08 18:50 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $708 1,011 coins $2,833 4,048 coins 4.00x 2026-11-07 14:37 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) StatTrak · knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $708 1,011 coins $2,833 4,048 coins 4.00x 2026-11-03 22:47 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $708 1,011 coins $2,348 3,354 coins 3.32x 2026-11-08 18:54 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) Hidden $708 1,011 coins $2,348 3,354 coins 3.32x 2026-11-08 18:54 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=stellar) [Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) Hidden $708 1,011 coins $154 220 coins 0.22x 2026-11-12 00:39 UTC [Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) Hidden $708 1,011 coins $154 220 coins 0.22x 2026-11-12 00:39 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $708 1,011 coins $1,645 2,350 coins 2.32x 2026-11-12 00:39 UTC [Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) Hidden $708 1,011 coins $154 220 coins 0.22x 2026-11-12 00:39 UTC [Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) Hidden $708 1,011 coins $154 220 coins 0.22x 2026-11-12 00:39 UTC [Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) [joonXO](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/joonXO) $708 1,011 coins $154 220 coins 0.22x 2026-11-12 00:39 UTC [Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) Hidden $708 1,011 coins $154 220 coins 0.22x 2026-11-10 23:01 UTC [Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) Hidden $708 1,011 coins $154 220 coins 0.22x 2026-11-10 23:01 UTC [Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) Hidden $708 1,011 coins $154 220 coins 0.22x 2026-11-10 23:01 UTC [Glock-18 | Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) Hidden $708 1,011 coins $154 220 coins 0.22x 2026-11-10 23:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $9,142 (12.92x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 77.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $77.43 on average: an expected loss of $22.57 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt