--- title: "Sticks case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Sticks ($1.23) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 88.39% over 87.1K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sticks rendered: 2026-11-11T12:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Sticks](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sticks) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Sticks A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sticks?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sticks?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sticks) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sticks?window=all) Price · $1.23 · 1.76 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 88.39% · 87.1K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 96.83% ±16.11 11.4K openings 7 days · 88.88% ±6.46 67.8K openings 30 days · 88.39% ±5.70 87.1K openings since tracking started · 88.39% ±5.70 87.1K openings 80.0% 96.8% 113.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sticks?window=24h) | 11.4K | 96.83% ±16.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sticks?window=7d) | 67.8K | 88.88% ±6.46 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sticks) | 87.1K | 88.39% ±5.70 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sticks?window=all) | 87.1K | 88.39% ±5.70 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-autotronic-battle-scarred) [rabnesbitt247](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/rabnesbitt247) $1.23 1.76 coins $445 635 coins 361.0x 2026-11-09 17:59 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-autotronic-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.23 1.76 coins $445 635 coins 361.0x 2026-11-07 23:38 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-autotronic-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.23 1.76 coins $445 635 coins 361.0x 2026-11-06 22:30 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-autotronic-battle-scarred) [Tony Roma](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Tony%20Roma) $1.23 1.76 coins $445 635 coins 361.0x 2026-11-06 08:27 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-autotronic-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.23 1.76 coins $445 635 coins 361.0x 2026-11-05 20:57 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-autotronic-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.23 1.76 coins $445 635 coins 361.0x 2026-11-04 10:40 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-autotronic-battle-scarred) Hidden $1.23 1.76 coins $445 635 coins 361.0x 2026-11-04 03:04 UTC [★ Bayonet | Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-night-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.23 1.76 coins $294 421 coins 239.0x 2026-11-10 22:14 UTC [★ Bayonet | Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-night-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.23 1.76 coins $294 421 coins 239.0x 2026-11-10 19:36 UTC [★ Bayonet | Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-night-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.23 1.76 coins $294 421 coins 239.0x 2026-11-10 00:10 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=sticks) [Sticker | Mastermind sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mastermind) Hidden $1.23 1.76 coins $0.15 0.22 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 12:54 UTC [Sticker | Mastermind sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mastermind) Hidden $1.23 1.76 coins $0.15 0.22 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 12:54 UTC [Sticker | Mastermind sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mastermind) Hidden $1.23 1.76 coins $0.15 0.22 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 12:54 UTC [Sticker | Mastermind sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mastermind) Hidden $1.23 1.76 coins $0.15 0.22 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 12:54 UTC [Sticker | Mastermind sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mastermind) Hidden $1.23 1.76 coins $0.15 0.22 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 12:54 UTC [Sticker | Mastermind sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mastermind) Hidden $1.23 1.76 coins $0.15 0.22 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 12:54 UTC [Sticker | Mastermind sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mastermind) Hidden $1.23 1.76 coins $0.15 0.22 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 12:54 UTC [Sticker | Mastermind sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mastermind) [사나](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/%EC%82%AC%EB%82%98) $1.23 1.76 coins $0.15 0.22 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 12:54 UTC [Sticker | Mastermind sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mastermind) Hidden $1.23 1.76 coins $0.15 0.22 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 12:50 UTC [Sticker | Mastermind sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mastermind) Hidden $1.23 1.76 coins $0.15 0.22 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 12:50 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $445 (361.0x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.39 on average: an expected loss of $11.61 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt