--- title: "Stormy case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Stormy ($46.21) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 94.67% over 442 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/stormy rendered: 2026-11-12T13:12Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Stormy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/stormy) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Stormy A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/stormy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/stormy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/stormy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/stormy?window=all) Price · $46.21 · 66.02 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 94.67% · 442 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 16 openings · below min 7 days · 281 openings · below min 30 days · 442 openings · below min since tracking started · 442 openings · below min 42.5% 78.0% 113.5% **Small sample.** 442 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/stormy?window=24h) | 16 | 78.15% ±34.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/stormy?window=7d) | 281 | 91.25% ±16.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/stormy) | 442 | 94.67% ±14.4 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/stormy?window=all) | 442 | 94.67% ±14.4 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-minimal-wear) [一隻](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/%E4%B8%80%E9%9A%BB) $46.21 66.02 coins $567 811 coins 12.28x 2026-11-04 15:07 UTC [M4A1-S | Blue Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blue-phosphor-factory-new) [bobshnyder](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/bobshnyder) $46.21 66.02 coins $548 783 coins 11.85x 2026-11-05 15:27 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-imminent-danger-battle-scarred) Hidden $46.21 66.02 coins $507 725 coins 10.98x 2026-11-11 01:57 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-imminent-danger-battle-scarred) Hidden $46.21 66.02 coins $507 725 coins 10.98x 2026-11-10 15:11 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-imminent-danger-battle-scarred) Hidden $46.21 66.02 coins $507 725 coins 10.98x 2026-11-10 12:39 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-imminent-danger-battle-scarred) Hidden $46.21 66.02 coins $507 725 coins 10.98x 2026-11-05 01:50 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-imminent-danger-battle-scarred) Hidden $46.21 66.02 coins $507 725 coins 10.98x 2026-11-04 17:59 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-imminent-danger-battle-scarred) Hidden $46.21 66.02 coins $507 725 coins 10.98x 2026-11-04 04:05 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=stormy) [Souvenir SCAR-20 | Storm (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-scar-20-storm-factory-new) Hidden $46.21 66.02 coins $17.76 25.37 coins 0.38x 2026-11-12 03:03 UTC [Desert Eagle | Midnight Storm (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-factory-new) Hidden $46.21 66.02 coins $24.20 34.57 coins 0.52x 2026-11-12 03:03 UTC [Souvenir SCAR-20 | Storm (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-scar-20-storm-factory-new) Hidden $46.21 66.02 coins $17.76 25.37 coins 0.38x 2026-11-12 03:03 UTC [M4A4 | Desert Storm (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-storm-factory-new) Hidden $46.21 66.02 coins $32.17 45.95 coins 0.70x 2026-11-12 03:03 UTC [Souvenir SCAR-20 | Storm (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-scar-20-storm-factory-new) Hidden $46.21 66.02 coins $17.76 25.37 coins 0.38x 2026-11-12 03:03 UTC [Desert Eagle | Midnight Storm (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-factory-new) Hidden $46.21 66.02 coins $24.20 34.57 coins 0.52x 2026-11-12 03:03 UTC [M4A4 | Desert Storm (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-storm-factory-new) Hidden $46.21 66.02 coins $32.17 45.95 coins 0.70x 2026-11-12 03:03 UTC [MAG-7 | Storm (Factory New) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-storm-factory-new) [KickMisfitMason](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/KickMisfitMason) $46.21 66.02 coins $10.16 14.52 coins 0.22x 2026-11-12 03:03 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-bright-water-well-worn) Hidden $46.21 66.02 coins $70.35 101 coins 1.52x 2026-11-12 03:00 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) Hidden $46.21 66.02 coins $54.54 77.92 coins 1.18x 2026-11-12 03:00 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $567 (12.28x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.67 on average: an expected loss of $5.33 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt