--- title: "Sun & Moon case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Sun & Moon ($32.38) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 100.29% over 1,641 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sun-moon rendered: 2026-11-11T19:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Sun & Moon](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sun-moon) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Sun & Moon A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sun-moon?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sun-moon?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sun-moon) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sun-moon?window=all) Price · $32.38 · 46.25 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 100.29% · 1,641 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 35 openings · below min 7 days · 109.79% ±15.14 1,221 openings 30 days · 100.29% ±12.17 1,641 openings since tracking started · 100.29% ±12.17 1,641 openings 45.5% 107.5% 169.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sun-moon?window=24h) | 35 | 107.37% ±61.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sun-moon?window=7d) | 1,221 | 109.79% ±15.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sun-moon) | 1,641 | 100.29% ±12.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sun-moon?window=all) | 1,641 | 100.29% ±12.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $32.38 46.25 coins $547 782 coins 16.90x 2026-11-09 12:32 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $32.38 46.25 coins $547 782 coins 16.90x 2026-11-08 23:13 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $32.38 46.25 coins $547 782 coins 16.90x 2026-11-07 01:00 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $32.38 46.25 coins $547 782 coins 16.90x 2026-11-06 16:37 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $32.38 46.25 coins $547 782 coins 16.90x 2026-11-06 16:37 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $32.38 46.25 coins $547 782 coins 16.90x 2026-11-05 15:17 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [zinģi banančik](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/zin%C4%A3i%20banan%C4%8Dik) $32.38 46.25 coins $547 782 coins 16.90x 2026-11-05 13:32 UTC [Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) Hidden $32.38 46.25 coins $547 782 coins 16.90x 2026-11-03 00:27 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=sun-moon) [Desert Eagle | Night (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-minimal-wear) Hidden $32.38 46.25 coins $11.86 16.94 coins 0.37x 2026-11-11 16:12 UTC [Souvenir MP9 | Setting Sun (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp9-setting-sun-factory-new) Hidden $32.38 46.25 coins $57.59 82.27 coins 1.78x 2026-11-11 16:12 UTC [Desert Eagle | Night (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-minimal-wear) Hidden $32.38 46.25 coins $11.86 16.94 coins 0.37x 2026-11-11 16:12 UTC [UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-moonrise-factory-new) Hidden $32.38 46.25 coins $0.89 1.27 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 16:12 UTC [StatTrak™ MP9 | Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-minimal-wear) Hidden $32.38 46.25 coins $14.04 20.05 coins 0.43x 2026-11-11 16:12 UTC [★ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-night-stripe-field-tested) Hidden $32.38 46.25 coins $210 300 coins 6.48x 2026-11-11 16:12 UTC [UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-moonrise-factory-new) Hidden $32.38 46.25 coins $0.89 1.27 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 16:12 UTC [UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-moonrise-factory-new) [#FreePooh](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/%23FreePooh) $32.38 46.25 coins $0.89 1.27 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 16:12 UTC [Dual Berettas | Moon in Libra (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-moon-in-libra-battle-scarred) Hidden $32.38 46.25 coins $4.60 6.57 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 16:07 UTC [Desert Eagle | Night (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-night-minimal-wear) Hidden $32.38 46.25 coins $11.86 16.94 coins 0.37x 2026-11-11 16:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $547 (16.90x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 100.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $100.29 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt