--- title: "Sweets case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Sweets ($1,035.52) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 74.69% over 124 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sweets rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Sweets](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sweets) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Sweets A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sweets?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sweets?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sweets) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sweets?window=all) Price · $1,035.52 · 1,479 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 74.69% · 124 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 68 openings · below min 30 days · 124 openings · below min since tracking started · 124 openings · below min 17.5% 61.0% 104.5% **Small sample.** 124 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sweets?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sweets?window=7d) | 68 | 51.86% ±33.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sweets) | 124 | 74.69% ±29.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/sweets?window=all) | 124 | 74.69% ±29.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $1,036 1,479 coins $8,392 11,989 coins 8.10x 2026-11-05 18:41 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $1,036 1,479 coins $7,570 10,814 coins 7.31x 2026-11-03 23:03 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) Hidden $1,036 1,479 coins $7,570 10,814 coins 7.31x 2026-11-03 23:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $1,036 1,479 coins $7,473 10,676 coins 7.22x 2026-11-08 18:52 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-well-worn) [DameTime619](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/DameTime619) $1,036 1,479 coins $6,171 8,816 coins 5.96x 2026-11-03 23:08 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-well-worn) Hidden $1,036 1,479 coins $6,171 8,816 coins 5.96x 2026-11-03 23:08 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,036 1,479 coins $4,896 6,994 coins 4.73x 2026-11-03 23:12 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $1,036 1,479 coins $4,182 5,975 coins 4.04x 2026-11-04 18:52 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $1,036 1,479 coins $4,182 5,975 coins 4.04x 2026-11-03 23:32 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,036 1,479 coins $3,702 5,289 coins 3.58x 2026-11-03 23:24 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=sweets) [Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $1,036 1,479 coins $95.98 137 coins 0.09x 2026-11-09 04:09 UTC [Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $1,036 1,479 coins $95.98 137 coins 0.09x 2026-11-09 04:09 UTC [Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $1,036 1,479 coins $95.98 137 coins 0.09x 2026-11-09 04:09 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $1,036 1,479 coins $1,524 2,177 coins 1.47x 2026-11-09 04:09 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $1,036 1,479 coins $510 728 coins 0.49x 2026-11-09 04:09 UTC [Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $1,036 1,479 coins $95.98 137 coins 0.09x 2026-11-09 04:09 UTC [Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $1,036 1,479 coins $95.98 137 coins 0.09x 2026-11-09 04:09 UTC [Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-field-tested) [Kick.com/xck97x | CODE : CK97](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Kick.com%2Fxck97x%20%7C%20CODE%20%3A%20CK97) $1,036 1,479 coins $95.98 137 coins 0.09x 2026-11-09 04:09 UTC [Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-field-tested) Hidden $1,036 1,479 coins $95.98 137 coins 0.09x 2026-11-08 19:01 UTC [★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) Hidden $1,036 1,479 coins $743 1,061 coins 0.72x 2026-11-08 19:01 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $8,392 (8.10x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 74.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $74.69 on average: an expected loss of $25.31 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt