--- title: "Swerve case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Swerve ($14.16) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 81.61% over 1,007 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/swerve rendered: 2026-11-11T15:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Swerve](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/swerve) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Swerve A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/swerve?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/swerve?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/swerve) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/swerve?window=all) Price · $14.16 · 20.23 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 81.61% · 1,007 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 88 openings · below min 7 days · 840 openings · below min 30 days · 81.61% ±11.31 1,007 openings since tracking started · 81.61% ±11.31 1,007 openings 46.5% 82.3% 118.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/swerve?window=24h) | 88 | 82.14% ±35.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/swerve?window=7d) | 840 | 79.62% ±12.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/swerve) | 1,007 | 81.61% ±11.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/swerve?window=all) | 1,007 | 81.61% ±11.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=swerve) [Sticker | Fast Banana sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fast-banana) Hidden $14.16 20.23 coins $0.63 0.9 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC [Sticker | Fast Banana sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fast-banana) Hidden $14.16 20.23 coins $0.63 0.9 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC [Glock-18 | Grinder (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.16 20.23 coins $1.30 1.85 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC [Sticker | Fast Banana sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fast-banana) Hidden $14.16 20.23 coins $0.63 0.9 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC [Nova | Walnut (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-walnut-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.16 20.23 coins $2.04 2.92 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC [SSG 08 | Carbon Fiber (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-carbon-fiber-minimal-wear) [SB...hitman](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/SB...hitman) $14.16 20.23 coins $4.23 6.04 coins 0.30x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC [Five-SeveN | Nitro (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-nitro-factory-new) Hidden $14.16 20.23 coins $32.24 46.05 coins 2.28x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC [SSG 08 | Carbon Fiber (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-carbon-fiber-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.16 20.23 coins $4.23 6.04 coins 0.30x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-autotronic-battle-scarred) Hidden $14.16 20.23 coins $83.15 119 coins 5.87x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC [Nova | Walnut (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-walnut-minimal-wear) Hidden $14.16 20.23 coins $2.04 2.92 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 81.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $81.61 on average: an expected loss of $18.39 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt