--- title: "Taco case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Taco ($11.46) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 92.03% over 3,090 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/taco rendered: 2026-11-11T15:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Taco](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/taco) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Taco A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/taco?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/taco?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/taco) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/taco?window=all) Price · $11.46 · 16.37 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 92.03% · 3,090 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 260 openings · below min 7 days · 93.80% ±10.96 2,272 openings 30 days · 92.03% ±9.18 3,090 openings since tracking started · 92.03% ±9.18 3,090 openings 51.0% 87.3% 123.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/taco?window=24h) | 260 | 87.14% ±35.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/taco?window=7d) | 2,272 | 93.80% ±11.0 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/taco) | 3,090 | 92.03% ±9.18 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/taco?window=all) | 3,090 | 92.03% ±9.18 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=taco) [Music Kit | Robert Allaire, Insurgency music kit · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-robert-allaire-insurgency) Hidden $11.46 16.37 coins $3.01 4.3 coins 0.26x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Chef Kiss (Brick Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-chef-kiss-brick-red) Hidden $11.46 16.37 coins $0.22 0.32 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-constrictor-well-worn) Hidden $11.46 16.37 coins $50.90 72.72 coins 4.44x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-acheron-minimal-wear) Hidden $11.46 16.37 coins $7.74 11.05 coins 0.68x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [Sticker | All Hail the King (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-all-hail-the-king-foil) Hidden $11.46 16.37 coins $0.77 1.1 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [Five-SeveN | Nitro (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-nitro-factory-new) Hidden $11.46 16.37 coins $59.11 84.44 coins 5.16x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Chef Kiss (Brick Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-chef-kiss-brick-red) Hidden $11.46 16.37 coins $0.22 0.32 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Chef Kiss (Brick Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-chef-kiss-brick-red) Hidden $11.46 16.37 coins $0.22 0.32 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [Sticker | All Hail the King (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-all-hail-the-king-foil) Hidden $11.46 16.37 coins $0.77 1.1 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | Chef Kiss (Brick Red) graffiti · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-chef-kiss-brick-red) Hidden $11.46 16.37 coins $0.22 0.32 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.03 on average: an expected loss of $7.97 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt