--- title: "Tanned case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Tanned ($104.82) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.94% over 506 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tanned rendered: 2026-11-11T20:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Tanned](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tanned) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Tanned A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tanned?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tanned?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tanned) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tanned?window=all) Price · $104.82 · 150 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 87.94% · 506 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 112 openings · below min 7 days · 413 openings · below min 30 days · 506 openings · below min since tracking started · 506 openings · below min 57.5% 94.5% 131.5% **Small sample.** 506 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tanned?window=24h) | 112 | 94.27% ±36.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tanned?window=7d) | 413 | 85.02% ±16.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tanned) | 506 | 87.94% ±16.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tanned?window=all) | 506 | 87.94% ±16.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-minimal-wear) Hidden $105 150 coins $1,282 1,832 coins 12.23x 2026-11-11 16:56 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Big Game (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-big-game-factory-new) Hidden $105 150 coins $1,125 1,607 coins 10.73x 2026-11-11 16:58 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Big Game (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-big-game-factory-new) Hidden $105 150 coins $1,125 1,607 coins 10.73x 2026-11-07 18:41 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Big Game (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-big-game-factory-new) Hidden $105 150 coins $1,125 1,607 coins 10.73x 2026-11-03 19:35 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Big Game (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-big-game-factory-new) Hidden $105 150 coins $1,125 1,607 coins 10.73x 2026-11-03 12:32 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) [Meluhdy](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Meluhdy) $105 150 coins $1,040 1,485 coins 9.92x 2026-11-10 17:18 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) Hidden $105 150 coins $1,040 1,485 coins 9.92x 2026-11-05 13:25 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $105 150 coins $795 1,136 coins 7.59x 2026-11-10 00:14 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-fade-factory-new) [twitch.tv/MrBarnee](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/twitch.tv%2FMrBarnee) $105 150 coins $795 1,136 coins 7.59x 2026-11-07 18:42 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Nomad Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nomad-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $105 150 coins $795 1,136 coins 7.59x 2026-11-05 13:36 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=tanned) [Tec-9 | Toxic (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-toxic-factory-new) Hidden $105 150 coins $9.18 13.11 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC [Souvenir AUG | Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-aug-radiation-hazard-field-tested) Hidden $105 150 coins $1.40 2 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) Hidden $105 150 coins $61.38 87.68 coins 0.59x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC [Souvenir AUG | Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-aug-radiation-hazard-field-tested) [Big yahu](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Big%20yahu) $105 150 coins $1.40 2 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC [PP-Bizon | Irradiated Alert (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-irradiated-alert-factory-new) Hidden $105 150 coins $18.21 26.02 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 17:02 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) Hidden $105 150 coins $61.38 87.68 coins 0.59x 2026-11-11 17:02 UTC [Souvenir Glock-18 | Reactor (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-glock-18-reactor-factory-new) Hidden $105 150 coins $98.68 141 coins 0.94x 2026-11-11 17:02 UTC [Desert Eagle | Fennec Fox (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-well-worn) Hidden $105 150 coins $267 381 coins 2.54x 2026-11-11 17:02 UTC [Souvenir AUG | Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-aug-radiation-hazard-field-tested) Hidden $105 150 coins $1.40 2 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 17:02 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) Hidden $105 150 coins $61.38 87.68 coins 0.59x 2026-11-11 17:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,282 (12.23x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.94 on average: an expected loss of $12.06 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt