--- title: "The Creator case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "The Creator ($317.97) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 78.74% over 177 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/the-creator rendered: 2026-11-12T07:19Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [The Creator](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/the-creator) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · The Creator A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/the-creator?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/the-creator?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/the-creator) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/the-creator?window=all) Price · $317.97 · 454 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 78.74% · 177 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 101 openings · below min 30 days · 177 openings · below min since tracking started · 177 openings · below min 59.0% 77.5% 96.0% **Small sample.** 177 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/the-creator?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/the-creator?window=7d) | 101 | 77.58% ±17.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/the-creator) | 177 | 78.74% ±13.6 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/the-creator?window=all) | 177 | 78.74% ±13.6 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-fade-factory-new) [defnotcowb3llyt](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/defnotcowb3llyt) $318 454 coins $1,144 1,634 coins 3.60x 2026-11-06 18:47 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $318 454 coins $1,144 1,634 coins 3.60x 2026-11-03 02:46 UTC [★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-fade-factory-new) [defnotcowb3llyt](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/defnotcowb3llyt) $318 454 coins $785 1,121 coins 2.47x 2026-11-03 02:52 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-night-minimal-wear) Hidden $318 454 coins $742 1,060 coins 2.33x 2026-11-08 16:18 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-night-minimal-wear) Hidden $318 454 coins $742 1,060 coins 2.33x 2026-11-05 20:03 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-night-minimal-wear) Hidden $318 454 coins $742 1,060 coins 2.33x 2026-11-04 23:47 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-night-minimal-wear) Hidden $318 454 coins $742 1,060 coins 2.33x 2026-11-04 23:42 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) Hidden $318 454 coins $625 893 coins 1.97x 2026-11-10 05:09 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) Hidden $318 454 coins $625 893 coins 1.97x 2026-11-10 00:16 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) Hidden $318 454 coins $625 893 coins 1.97x 2026-11-10 00:16 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=the-creator) [★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $318 454 coins $565 807 coins 1.78x 2026-11-11 00:17 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Bright Water (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-bright-water-field-tested) Hidden $318 454 coins $450 643 coins 1.42x 2026-11-11 00:17 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-minimal-wear) Hidden $318 454 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:17 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [Fixedinho](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Fixedinho) $318 454 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 00:17 UTC [Nova | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $318 454 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 05:09 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $318 454 coins $565 807 coins 1.78x 2026-11-10 05:09 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-field-tested) Hidden $318 454 coins $625 893 coins 1.97x 2026-11-10 05:09 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $318 454 coins $565 807 coins 1.78x 2026-11-10 05:09 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-minimal-wear) Hidden $318 454 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 05:09 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Well-Worn) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-well-worn) [swerve](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/swerve) $318 454 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 05:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,144 (3.60x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 78.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $78.74 on average: an expected loss of $21.26 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt