--- title: "Thumbprint case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Thumbprint ($2.51) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 94.00% over 41.9K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/thumbprint rendered: 2026-11-11T13:36Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Thumbprint](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/thumbprint) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Thumbprint A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/thumbprint?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/thumbprint?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/thumbprint) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/thumbprint?window=all) Price · $2.51 · 3.58 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 94.00% · 41.9K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 96.92% ±19.00 4,173 openings 7 days · 95.96% ±7.07 33.4K openings 30 days · 94.00% ±6.08 41.9K openings since tracking started · 94.00% ±6.08 41.9K openings 77.5% 97.0% 116.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/thumbprint?window=24h) | 4,173 | 96.92% ±19.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/thumbprint?window=7d) | 33.4K | 95.96% ±7.07 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/thumbprint) | 41.9K | 94.00% ±6.08 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/thumbprint?window=all) | 41.9K | 94.00% ±6.08 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-factory-new) Hidden $2.51 3.58 coins $555 793 coins 221.5x 2026-11-09 15:40 UTC [★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Factory New) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-snakebite-factory-new) Hidden $2.51 3.58 coins $417 596 coins 166.3x 2026-11-09 00:39 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-minimal-wear) [stifler](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/stifler) $2.51 3.58 coins $347 495 coins 138.3x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-minimal-wear) [BigDaddy](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/BigDaddy) $2.51 3.58 coins $347 495 coins 138.3x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.51 3.58 coins $347 495 coins 138.3x 2026-11-10 15:40 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.51 3.58 coins $347 495 coins 138.3x 2026-11-10 15:23 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.51 3.58 coins $347 495 coins 138.3x 2026-11-10 07:35 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-minimal-wear) [Marko Livaja](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Marko%20Livaja) $2.51 3.58 coins $347 495 coins 138.3x 2026-11-09 16:07 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.51 3.58 coins $347 495 coins 138.3x 2026-11-09 15:40 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION! (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.51 3.58 coins $347 495 coins 138.3x 2026-11-09 14:59 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=thumbprint) [Sticker | Smoke Criminal sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-smoke-criminal) Hidden $2.51 3.58 coins $1.15 1.64 coins 0.46x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [Sticker | Smoke Criminal sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-smoke-criminal) Hidden $2.51 3.58 coins $1.15 1.64 coins 0.46x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [Sticker | Smoke Criminal sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-smoke-criminal) Hidden $2.51 3.58 coins $1.15 1.64 coins 0.46x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [Sticker | Smoke Criminal sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-smoke-criminal) [Butftingerer](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Butftingerer) $2.51 3.58 coins $1.15 1.64 coins 0.46x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC [Sticker | Smoke Criminal sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-smoke-criminal) Hidden $2.51 3.58 coins $1.15 1.64 coins 0.46x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC [Sticker | Smoke Criminal sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-smoke-criminal) Hidden $2.51 3.58 coins $1.15 1.64 coins 0.46x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC [Sticker | Smoke Criminal sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-smoke-criminal) Hidden $2.51 3.58 coins $1.15 1.64 coins 0.46x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC [Sticker | Smoke Criminal sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-smoke-criminal) Hidden $2.51 3.58 coins $1.15 1.64 coins 0.46x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC [Sticker | Smoke Criminal sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-smoke-criminal) Hidden $2.51 3.58 coins $1.15 1.64 coins 0.46x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC [Sticker | Smoke Criminal sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-smoke-criminal) Hidden $2.51 3.58 coins $1.15 1.64 coins 0.46x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $555 (221.5x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.00 on average: an expected loss of $6.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt