--- title: "Tightrope case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Tightrope ($167.91) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 90.93% over 1,604 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tightrope rendered: 2026-11-11T18:55Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Tightrope](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tightrope) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Tightrope A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tightrope?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tightrope?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tightrope) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tightrope?window=all) Price · $167.91 · 240 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 90.93% · 1,604 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 131 openings · below min 7 days · 87.79% ±15.83 1,274 openings 30 days · 90.93% ±14.52 1,604 openings since tracking started · 90.93% ±14.52 1,604 openings 39.5% 96.5% 153.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tightrope?window=24h) | 131 | 96.43% ±56.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tightrope?window=7d) | 1,274 | 87.79% ±15.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tightrope) | 1,604 | 90.93% ±14.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tightrope?window=all) | 1,604 | 90.93% ±14.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $168 240 coins $3,047 4,353 coins 18.15x 2026-11-11 16:05 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $168 240 coins $3,047 4,353 coins 18.15x 2026-11-11 00:16 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $168 240 coins $3,047 4,353 coins 18.15x 2026-11-10 01:12 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $168 240 coins $3,047 4,353 coins 18.15x 2026-11-09 23:49 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $168 240 coins $3,047 4,353 coins 18.15x 2026-11-07 13:07 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $168 240 coins $3,047 4,353 coins 18.15x 2026-11-07 00:31 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $168 240 coins $3,047 4,353 coins 18.15x 2026-11-05 01:31 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $168 240 coins $3,047 4,353 coins 18.15x 2026-11-04 07:29 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $168 240 coins $3,047 4,353 coins 18.15x 2026-11-04 01:36 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $168 240 coins $3,047 4,353 coins 18.15x 2026-11-03 20:55 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=tightrope) [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-well-worn) Hidden $168 240 coins $75.60 108 coins 0.45x 2026-11-11 16:05 UTC [Gamma Doppler Emerald other · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gamma-doppler-emerald) Hidden $168 240 coins $152 217 coins 0.91x 2026-11-11 16:05 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) Hidden $168 240 coins $120 172 coins 0.72x 2026-11-11 16:05 UTC [Galil AR | Cerberus (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-minimal-wear) Hidden $168 240 coins $46.56 66.52 coins 0.28x 2026-11-11 16:05 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $168 240 coins $3,047 4,353 coins 18.15x 2026-11-11 16:05 UTC [Galil AR | Cerberus (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-minimal-wear) [Perrcos](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Perrcos) $168 240 coins $46.56 66.52 coins 0.28x 2026-11-11 16:05 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-well-worn) Hidden $168 240 coins $75.60 108 coins 0.45x 2026-11-11 15:18 UTC [Souvenir Nova | Green Apple (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-nova-green-apple-field-tested) Hidden $168 240 coins $4.18 5.97 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:18 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) Hidden $168 240 coins $120 172 coins 0.72x 2026-11-11 15:18 UTC [Souvenir Nova | Green Apple (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-nova-green-apple-field-tested) Hidden $168 240 coins $4.18 5.97 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:18 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $3,047 (18.15x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.93 on average: an expected loss of $9.07 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt