--- title: "Tool Box case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Tool Box ($12.86) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 94.83% over 1,423 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tool-box rendered: 2026-11-11T20:44Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Tool Box](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tool-box) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Tool Box A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tool-box?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tool-box?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tool-box) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tool-box?window=all) Price · $12.86 · 18.37 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 94.83% · 1,423 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 91 openings · below min 7 days · 98.07% ±9.98 1,158 openings 30 days · 94.83% ±8.87 1,423 openings since tracking started · 94.83% ±8.87 1,423 openings 58.5% 108.7% 159.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tool-box?window=24h) | 91 | 108.64% ±49.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tool-box?window=7d) | 1,158 | 98.07% ±9.98 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tool-box) | 1,423 | 94.83% ±8.87 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tool-box?window=all) | 1,423 | 94.83% ±8.87 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=tool-box) [XM1014 | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.86 18.37 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 20:13 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) Hidden $12.86 18.37 coins $77.97 111 coins 6.06x 2026-11-11 20:13 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Steel Delta (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-steel-delta-factory-new) Hidden $12.86 18.37 coins $9.79 13.98 coins 0.76x 2026-11-11 20:13 UTC [Sawed-Off | Rust Coat (Minimal Wear) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-rust-coat-minimal-wear) [Sixtine](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Sixtine) $12.86 18.37 coins $16.71 23.87 coins 1.30x 2026-11-11 20:13 UTC [XM1014 | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.86 18.37 coins $0.05 0.07 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 19:14 UTC [PP-Bizon | Rust Coat (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-rust-coat-factory-new) Hidden $12.86 18.37 coins $22.69 32.42 coins 1.76x 2026-11-11 19:14 UTC [Souvenir SG 553 | Damascus Steel (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-sg-553-damascus-steel-factory-new) Hidden $12.86 18.37 coins $60.27 86.1 coins 4.69x 2026-11-11 19:14 UTC [StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-heavy-metal-minimal-wear) [maha-328f26](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/maha-328f26) $12.86 18.37 coins $0.54 0.77 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:14 UTC [Souvenir AK-47 | Steel Delta (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-steel-delta-factory-new) Hidden $12.86 18.37 coins $9.79 13.98 coins 0.76x 2026-11-11 19:11 UTC [StatTrak™ SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-heavy-metal-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.86 18.37 coins $0.54 0.77 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:11 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.83 on average: an expected loss of $5.17 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt