--- title: "Trap case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Trap ($41.40) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 86.84% over 21.2K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trap rendered: 2026-11-12T03:05Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Trap](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trap) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Trap A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trap?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trap?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trap) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trap?window=all) Price · $41.40 · 59.14 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 86.84% · 21.2K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 95.68% ±22.60 1,631 openings 7 days · 88.07% ±6.60 16.4K openings 30 days · 86.84% ±5.77 21.2K openings since tracking started · 86.84% ±5.77 21.2K openings 72.5% 95.8% 119.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trap?window=24h) | 1,631 | 95.68% ±22.6 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trap?window=7d) | 16.4K | 88.07% ±6.60 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trap) | 21.2K | 86.84% ±5.77 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trap?window=all) | 21.2K | 86.84% ±5.77 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-marble-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $41.40 59.14 coins $2,193 3,133 coins 52.98x 2026-11-12 00:07 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-marble-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $41.40 59.14 coins $2,193 3,133 coins 52.98x 2026-11-10 19:40 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-marble-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $41.40 59.14 coins $2,193 3,133 coins 52.98x 2026-11-09 10:53 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-marble-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $41.40 59.14 coins $2,193 3,133 coins 52.98x 2026-11-08 16:15 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-marble-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $41.40 59.14 coins $2,193 3,133 coins 52.98x 2026-11-04 14:40 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) Hidden $41.40 59.14 coins $1,944 2,776 coins 46.95x 2026-11-10 18:31 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) Hidden $41.40 59.14 coins $1,944 2,776 coins 46.95x 2026-11-10 18:15 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) Hidden $41.40 59.14 coins $1,944 2,776 coins 46.95x 2026-11-07 01:15 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) Hidden $41.40 59.14 coins $1,944 2,776 coins 46.95x 2026-11-06 22:13 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) Hidden $41.40 59.14 coins $1,944 2,776 coins 46.95x 2026-11-06 17:08 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=trap) [SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-heavy-metal-factory-new) Hidden $41.40 59.14 coins $0.52 0.74 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 02:12 UTC [SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-heavy-metal-factory-new) Hidden $41.40 59.14 coins $0.52 0.74 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 02:12 UTC [SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-heavy-metal-factory-new) Hidden $41.40 59.14 coins $0.52 0.74 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 02:12 UTC [SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-heavy-metal-factory-new) Hidden $41.40 59.14 coins $0.52 0.74 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 02:12 UTC [SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-heavy-metal-factory-new) Hidden $41.40 59.14 coins $0.52 0.74 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 02:12 UTC [SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-heavy-metal-factory-new) [shubidibap](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/shubidibap) $41.40 59.14 coins $0.52 0.74 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 02:12 UTC [SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-heavy-metal-factory-new) Hidden $41.40 59.14 coins $0.52 0.74 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 02:12 UTC [SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-heavy-metal-factory-new) Hidden $41.40 59.14 coins $0.52 0.74 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 02:12 UTC [SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-heavy-metal-factory-new) Hidden $41.40 59.14 coins $0.52 0.74 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 02:12 UTC [SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-heavy-metal-factory-new) Hidden $41.40 59.14 coins $0.52 0.74 coins 0.01x 2026-11-12 02:12 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,193 (52.98x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.84 on average: an expected loss of $13.16 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt