--- title: "Treasure Chest case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Treasure Chest ($164.93) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 95.17% over 471 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/treasure-chest rendered: 2026-11-11T19:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Treasure Chest](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/treasure-chest) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Treasure Chest A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/treasure-chest?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/treasure-chest?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/treasure-chest) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/treasure-chest?window=all) Price · $164.93 · 236 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 95.17% · 471 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 34 openings · below min 7 days · 339 openings · below min 30 days · 471 openings · below min since tracking started · 471 openings · below min 46.0% 129.5% 213.0% **Small sample.** 471 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/treasure-chest?window=24h) | 34 | 129.62% ±82.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/treasure-chest?window=7d) | 339 | 100.32% ±21.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/treasure-chest) | 471 | 95.17% ±17.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/treasure-chest?window=all) | 471 | 95.17% ±17.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $165 236 coins $1,389 1,985 coins 8.42x 2026-11-10 11:32 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) Hidden $165 236 coins $1,389 1,985 coins 8.42x 2026-11-05 04:51 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $165 236 coins $1,363 1,947 coins 8.26x 2026-11-09 03:19 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $165 236 coins $1,363 1,947 coins 8.26x 2026-11-07 23:00 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $165 236 coins $1,363 1,947 coins 8.26x 2026-11-03 20:29 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $165 236 coins $1,332 1,903 coins 8.08x 2026-11-11 18:30 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $165 236 coins $1,332 1,903 coins 8.08x 2026-11-09 18:52 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $165 236 coins $1,332 1,903 coins 8.08x 2026-11-04 01:01 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [⚜TOB⚜](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/%E2%9A%9CTOB%E2%9A%9C) $165 236 coins $1,236 1,766 coins 7.50x 2026-11-10 08:06 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) [FybZ](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/FybZ) $165 236 coins $1,236 1,766 coins 7.50x 2026-11-10 04:58 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=treasure-chest) [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $165 236 coins $2.92 4.17 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:30 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · Covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $165 236 coins $1,332 1,903 coins 8.08x 2026-11-11 18:30 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $165 236 coins $2.92 4.17 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 18:30 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) StatTrak · knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) [BulletJackpotOnKick](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/BulletJackpotOnKick) $165 236 coins $966 1,380 coins 5.86x 2026-11-11 18:30 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $165 236 coins $2.92 4.17 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:19 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $165 236 coins $2.92 4.17 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:19 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $165 236 coins $2.92 4.17 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:19 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $165 236 coins $2.92 4.17 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:19 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $165 236 coins $2.92 4.17 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:19 UTC [Sticker | Blue Gem (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blue-gem-glitter) Hidden $165 236 coins $2.92 4.17 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,389 (8.42x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 95.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $95.17 on average: an expected loss of $4.83 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt