--- title: "Trenches case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Trenches ($879.31) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 90.16% over 251 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trenches rendered: 2026-11-11T13:47Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Trenches](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trenches) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Trenches A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trenches?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trenches?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trenches) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trenches?window=all) Price · $879.31 · 1,256 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 90.16% · 251 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 28 openings · below min 7 days · 143 openings · below min 30 days · 251 openings · below min since tracking started · 251 openings · below min 23.0% 79.0% 135.0% **Small sample.** 251 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trenches?window=24h) | 28 | 52.36% ±28.5 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trenches?window=7d) | 143 | 92.01% ±42.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trenches) | 251 | 90.16% ±28.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trenches?window=all) | 251 | 90.16% ±28.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Souvenir AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $879 1,256 coins $24.7K 35,262 coins 28.07x 2026-11-09 21:41 UTC [AK-47 | Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) Hidden $879 1,256 coins $12.1K 17,239 coins 13.72x 2026-11-03 23:11 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $879 1,256 coins $8,488 12,126 coins 9.65x 2026-11-08 18:49 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) [DameTime619](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/DameTime619) $879 1,256 coins $8,488 12,126 coins 9.65x 2026-11-03 23:23 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-minimal-wear) Hidden $879 1,256 coins $8,488 12,126 coins 9.65x 2026-11-03 23:11 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $879 1,256 coins $4,800 6,857 coins 5.46x 2026-11-10 08:13 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $879 1,256 coins $4,800 6,857 coins 5.46x 2026-11-03 22:36 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $879 1,256 coins $3,613 5,162 coins 4.11x 2026-11-10 17:35 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $879 1,256 coins $3,613 5,162 coins 4.11x 2026-11-08 17:22 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) Hidden $879 1,256 coins $3,613 5,162 coins 4.11x 2026-11-04 18:11 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=trenches) [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-jaguar-minimal-wear) Hidden $879 1,256 coins $178 254 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 13:02 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-jaguar-minimal-wear) Hidden $879 1,256 coins $178 254 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 13:02 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-jaguar-minimal-wear) Hidden $879 1,256 coins $178 254 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 13:02 UTC [M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-minimal-wear) Hidden $879 1,256 coins $1,097 1,567 coins 1.25x 2026-11-11 13:02 UTC [StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chatterbox (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chatterbox-field-tested) Hidden $879 1,256 coins $232 331 coins 0.26x 2026-11-11 13:02 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-jaguar-minimal-wear) Hidden $879 1,256 coins $178 254 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 13:02 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-jaguar-minimal-wear) Hidden $879 1,256 coins $178 254 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 13:02 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) [bradbeloved](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/bradbeloved) $879 1,256 coins $782 1,117 coins 0.89x 2026-11-11 13:02 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Jaguar (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-jaguar-minimal-wear) Hidden $879 1,256 coins $178 254 coins 0.20x 2026-11-11 12:49 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $879 1,256 coins $537 768 coins 0.61x 2026-11-11 12:49 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $24.7K (28.07x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.16 on average: an expected loss of $9.84 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt