--- title: "Tribal case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Tribal ($4.26) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 91.17% over 83.9K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tribal rendered: 2026-11-11T14:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Tribal](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tribal) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Tribal A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tribal?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tribal?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tribal) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tribal?window=all) Price · $4.26 · 6.09 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 91.17% · 83.9K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 97.29% ±15.15 7,036 openings 7 days · 91.47% ±4.47 68.4K openings 30 days · 91.17% ±4.04 83.9K openings since tracking started · 91.17% ±4.04 83.9K openings 81.5% 97.2% 113.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tribal?window=24h) | 7,036 | 97.29% ±15.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tribal?window=7d) | 68.4K | 91.47% ±4.47 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tribal) | 83.9K | 91.17% ±4.04 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tribal?window=all) | 83.9K | 91.17% ±4.04 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $4.26 6.09 coins $398 568 coins 93.30x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $4.26 6.09 coins $398 568 coins 93.30x 2026-11-11 11:27 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $4.26 6.09 coins $398 568 coins 93.30x 2026-11-11 09:46 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $4.26 6.09 coins $398 568 coins 93.30x 2026-11-11 08:23 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $4.26 6.09 coins $398 568 coins 93.30x 2026-11-10 23:02 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $4.26 6.09 coins $398 568 coins 93.30x 2026-11-10 21:53 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $4.26 6.09 coins $398 568 coins 93.30x 2026-11-10 21:24 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $4.26 6.09 coins $398 568 coins 93.30x 2026-11-10 21:19 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $4.26 6.09 coins $398 568 coins 93.30x 2026-11-10 20:44 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $4.26 6.09 coins $398 568 coins 93.30x 2026-11-10 20:20 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=tribal) [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) Hidden $4.26 6.09 coins $0.49 0.7 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) Hidden $4.26 6.09 coins $0.49 0.7 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) Hidden $4.26 6.09 coins $0.49 0.7 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) Hidden $4.26 6.09 coins $0.49 0.7 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) Hidden $4.26 6.09 coins $0.49 0.7 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) [cpt.](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/cpt.) $4.26 6.09 coins $0.49 0.7 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) Hidden $4.26 6.09 coins $0.49 0.7 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) Hidden $4.26 6.09 coins $0.49 0.7 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) Hidden $4.26 6.09 coins $0.49 0.7 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC [M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-emphorosaur-s-well-worn) Hidden $4.26 6.09 coins $0.49 0.7 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $398 (93.30x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.17 on average: an expected loss of $8.83 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt