--- title: "Trick or Treat case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Trick or Treat ($11.98) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 93.95% over 2,121 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trick-or-treat rendered: 2026-11-11T20:55Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Trick or Treat](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trick-or-treat) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Trick or Treat A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trick-or-treat?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trick-or-treat?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trick-or-treat) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trick-or-treat?window=all) Price · $11.98 · 17.11 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 93.95% · 2,121 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 139 openings · below min 7 days · 92.53% ±12.14 1,664 openings 30 days · 93.95% ±10.97 2,121 openings since tracking started · 93.95% ±10.97 2,121 openings 60.0% 96.5% 133.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trick-or-treat?window=24h) | 139 | 96.46% ±35.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trick-or-treat?window=7d) | 1,664 | 92.53% ±12.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trick-or-treat) | 2,121 | 93.95% ±11.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/trick-or-treat?window=all) | 2,121 | 93.95% ±11.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=trick-or-treat) [Sticker | rain | Rio 2022 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-rio-2022) Hidden $11.98 17.11 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 20:40 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-chopper-factory-new) Hidden $11.98 17.11 coins $4.90 7 coins 0.41x 2026-11-11 20:40 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-disco-tech-factory-new) Hidden $11.98 17.11 coins $31.30 44.72 coins 2.61x 2026-11-11 20:40 UTC [StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-neon-rider-minimal-wear) Hidden $11.98 17.11 coins $21.76 31.08 coins 1.82x 2026-11-11 20:40 UTC [Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-flora-carnivora-well-worn) Hidden $11.98 17.11 coins $0.35 0.5 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 20:40 UTC [AK-47 | Nightwish (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-field-tested) [FeNoXx](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/FeNoXx) $11.98 17.11 coins $7.29 10.41 coins 0.61x 2026-11-11 20:40 UTC [Sticker | rain | Rio 2022 sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-rio-2022) Hidden $11.98 17.11 coins $0.07 0.1 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 19:13 UTC [StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-colony-iv-field-tested) Hidden $11.98 17.11 coins $13.48 19.25 coins 1.13x 2026-11-11 19:13 UTC [Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-flora-carnivora-well-worn) Hidden $11.98 17.11 coins $0.35 0.5 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:13 UTC [Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-flora-carnivora-well-worn) [maha-328f26](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/maha-328f26) $11.98 17.11 coins $0.35 0.5 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:13 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.95 on average: an expected loss of $6.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt