--- title: "Tripwire case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Tripwire ($115.55) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 100.52% over 3,826 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tripwire rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Tripwire](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tripwire) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Tripwire A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tripwire?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tripwire?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tripwire) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tripwire?window=all) Price · $115.55 · 165 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 100.52% · 3,826 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 280 openings · below min 7 days · 100.97% ±11.55 3,367 openings 30 days · 100.52% ±10.77 3,826 openings since tracking started · 100.52% ±10.77 3,826 openings 48.5% 81.7% 115.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tripwire?window=24h) | 280 | 81.76% ±32.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tripwire?window=7d) | 3,367 | 100.97% ±11.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tripwire) | 3,826 | 100.52% ±10.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/tripwire?window=all) | 3,826 | 100.52% ±10.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $116 165 coins $2,710 3,872 coins 23.45x 2026-11-10 09:44 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $116 165 coins $2,710 3,872 coins 23.45x 2026-11-10 09:44 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $116 165 coins $2,710 3,872 coins 23.45x 2026-11-09 14:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $116 165 coins $2,710 3,872 coins 23.45x 2026-11-08 06:02 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $116 165 coins $2,710 3,872 coins 23.45x 2026-11-08 03:50 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $116 165 coins $2,710 3,872 coins 23.45x 2026-11-08 02:43 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $116 165 coins $2,710 3,872 coins 23.45x 2026-11-07 18:37 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) [Espião](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Espi%C3%A3o) $116 165 coins $2,710 3,872 coins 23.45x 2026-11-07 12:14 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $116 165 coins $2,710 3,872 coins 23.45x 2026-11-07 00:05 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $116 165 coins $2,710 3,872 coins 23.45x 2026-11-06 14:55 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=tripwire) [Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p250-drought-factory-new) Hidden $116 165 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC [Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p250-drought-factory-new) Hidden $116 165 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC [P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-facility-draft-factory-new) Hidden $116 165 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC [P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-facility-draft-factory-new) Hidden $116 165 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC [Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p250-drought-factory-new) Hidden $116 165 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC [P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-facility-draft-factory-new) [freberekk](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/freberekk) $116 165 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $116 165 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC [Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p250-drought-factory-new) Hidden $116 165 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC [P250 | Sand Dune (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-sand-dune-minimal-wear) Hidden $116 165 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC [Souvenir P250 | Drought (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-p250-drought-factory-new) Hidden $116 165 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 12:11 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,710 (23.45x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 100.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $100.52 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt