--- title: "Truency case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Truency ($36.27) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 80.56% over 881 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/truency rendered: 2026-11-11T15:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Truency](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/truency) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Truency A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/truency?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/truency?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/truency) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/truency?window=all) Price · $36.27 · 51.81 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 80.56% · 881 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 46 openings · below min 7 days · 685 openings · below min 30 days · 881 openings · below min since tracking started · 881 openings · below min 49.5% 98.3% 147.0% **Small sample.** 881 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/truency?window=24h) | 46 | 98.39% ±48.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/truency?window=7d) | 685 | 82.21% ±10.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/truency) | 881 | 80.56% ±9.29 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/truency?window=all) | 881 | 80.56% ±9.29 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=truency) [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-well-worn) Hidden $36.27 51.81 coins $22.83 32.61 coins 0.63x 2026-11-11 10:14 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-factory-new) Hidden $36.27 51.81 coins $217 309 coins 5.97x 2026-11-11 10:14 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-neural-net-battle-scarred) Hidden $36.27 51.81 coins $1.04 1.48 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 10:14 UTC [Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-minimal-wear) Hidden $36.27 51.81 coins $9.45 13.5 coins 0.26x 2026-11-11 10:14 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-neural-net-battle-scarred) Hidden $36.27 51.81 coins $1.04 1.48 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 10:14 UTC [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-factory-new) Hidden $36.27 51.81 coins $30.17 43.1 coins 0.83x 2026-11-11 10:14 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-neural-net-battle-scarred) Hidden $36.27 51.81 coins $1.04 1.48 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 10:14 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-neural-net-battle-scarred) [Jonkenn](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Jonkenn) $36.27 51.81 coins $1.04 1.48 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 10:14 UTC [MP9 | Bulldozer (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bulldozer-well-worn) Hidden $36.27 51.81 coins $55.54 79.34 coins 1.53x 2026-11-11 09:23 UTC [StatTrak™ FAMAS | Neural Net (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-neural-net-battle-scarred) Hidden $36.27 51.81 coins $1.04 1.48 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 09:23 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 80.6% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $80.56 on average: an expected loss of $19.44 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt