--- title: "Vaporwave case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Vaporwave ($9.28) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 90.36% over 1,137 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vaporwave rendered: 2026-11-11T19:59Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Vaporwave](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vaporwave) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Vaporwave A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vaporwave?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vaporwave?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vaporwave) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vaporwave?window=all) Price · $9.28 · 13.26 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 90.36% · 1,137 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 115 openings · below min 7 days · 938 openings · below min 30 days · 90.36% ±11.68 1,137 openings since tracking started · 90.36% ±11.68 1,137 openings 61.0% 93.2% 125.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vaporwave?window=24h) | 115 | 93.17% ±31.7 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vaporwave?window=7d) | 938 | 91.09% ±13.3 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vaporwave) | 1,137 | 90.36% ±11.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vaporwave?window=all) | 1,137 | 90.36% ±11.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=vaporwave) [SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-field-tested) Hidden $9.28 13.26 coins $0.41 0.58 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) Hidden $9.28 13.26 coins $14.26 20.37 coins 1.54x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-field-tested) Hidden $9.28 13.26 coins $0.41 0.58 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-battle-scarred) Hidden $9.28 13.26 coins $1.06 1.52 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-field-tested) Hidden $9.28 13.26 coins $0.41 0.58 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-field-tested) Hidden $9.28 13.26 coins $0.41 0.58 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [M4A1-S | Decimator (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-well-worn) Hidden $9.28 13.26 coins $10.23 14.62 coins 1.10x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bi83-spectrum-factory-new) Hidden $9.28 13.26 coins $1.75 2.5 coins 0.19x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-bi83-spectrum-factory-new) [Sixtine](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Sixtine) $9.28 13.26 coins $1.75 2.5 coins 0.19x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC [R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) Hidden $9.28 13.26 coins $12.40 17.71 coins 1.34x 2026-11-11 19:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.36 on average: an expected loss of $9.64 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt