--- title: "Vault case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Vault ($35.83) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 92.03% over 2,372 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vault rendered: 2026-11-11T20:21Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Vault](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vault) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Vault A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vault?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vault?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vault) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vault?window=all) Price · $35.83 · 51.18 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 92.03% · 2,372 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 208 openings · below min 7 days · 92.06% ±15.05 1,982 openings 30 days · 92.03% ±13.53 2,372 openings since tracking started · 92.03% ±13.53 2,372 openings 60.0% 92.8% 125.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vault?window=24h) | 208 | 92.78% ±32.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vault?window=7d) | 1,982 | 92.06% ±15.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vault) | 2,372 | 92.03% ±13.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vault?window=all) | 2,372 | 92.03% ±13.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) Hidden $35.83 51.18 coins $1,551 2,215 coins 43.29x 2026-11-10 13:43 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) Hidden $35.83 51.18 coins $1,551 2,215 coins 43.29x 2026-11-09 15:44 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) Hidden $35.83 51.18 coins $1,551 2,215 coins 43.29x 2026-11-06 17:40 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) Hidden $35.83 51.18 coins $1,551 2,215 coins 43.29x 2026-11-06 10:47 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) [glorbo frottodrillo](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/glorbo%20frottodrillo) $35.83 51.18 coins $1,551 2,215 coins 43.29x 2026-11-05 23:28 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) [PAT](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/PAT) $35.83 51.18 coins $1,551 2,215 coins 43.29x 2026-11-05 19:48 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) Hidden $35.83 51.18 coins $1,551 2,215 coins 43.29x 2026-11-05 11:33 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) Hidden $35.83 51.18 coins $1,551 2,215 coins 43.29x 2026-11-04 21:43 UTC [AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) Hidden $35.83 51.18 coins $1,551 2,215 coins 43.29x 2026-11-04 20:16 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-well-worn) Hidden $35.83 51.18 coins $691 987 coins 19.29x 2026-11-11 08:31 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=vault) [UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gold-bismuth-field-tested) Hidden $35.83 51.18 coins $2.45 3.5 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:09 UTC [UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gold-bismuth-field-tested) Hidden $35.83 51.18 coins $2.45 3.5 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:09 UTC [UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gold-bismuth-field-tested) Hidden $35.83 51.18 coins $2.45 3.5 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:09 UTC [MAC-10 | Gold Brick (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-gold-brick-battle-scarred) Hidden $35.83 51.18 coins $57.43 82.05 coins 1.60x 2026-11-11 20:09 UTC [UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gold-bismuth-field-tested) Hidden $35.83 51.18 coins $2.45 3.5 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:09 UTC [UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gold-bismuth-field-tested) [keytowin](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/keytowin) $35.83 51.18 coins $2.45 3.5 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:09 UTC [UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gold-bismuth-field-tested) Hidden $35.83 51.18 coins $2.45 3.5 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC [UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gold-bismuth-field-tested) Hidden $35.83 51.18 coins $2.45 3.5 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC [UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gold-bismuth-field-tested) Hidden $35.83 51.18 coins $2.45 3.5 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC [UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gold-bismuth-field-tested) Hidden $35.83 51.18 coins $2.45 3.5 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 20:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,551 (43.29x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.03 on average: an expected loss of $7.97 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt