--- title: "Ventilated case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Ventilated ($64.17) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 99.76% over 1,012 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ventilated rendered: 2026-11-11T22:42Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Ventilated](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ventilated) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Ventilated A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ventilated?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ventilated?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ventilated) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ventilated?window=all) Price · $64.17 · 91.67 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 99.76% · 1,012 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 124 openings · below min 7 days · 786 openings · below min 30 days · 99.76% ±16.83 1,012 openings since tracking started · 99.76% ±16.83 1,012 openings 65.5% 112.5% 159.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ventilated?window=24h) | 124 | 112.48% ±46.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ventilated?window=7d) | 786 | 102.70% ±19.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ventilated) | 1,012 | 99.76% ±16.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/ventilated?window=all) | 1,012 | 99.76% ±16.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-marble-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $64.17 91.67 coins $1,487 2,124 coins 23.17x 2026-11-09 00:29 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-marble-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $64.17 91.67 coins $1,487 2,124 coins 23.17x 2026-11-08 23:20 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-marble-fade-minimal-wear) Hidden $64.17 91.67 coins $1,487 2,124 coins 23.17x 2026-11-04 21:17 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-factory-new) Hidden $64.17 91.67 coins $1,403 2,005 coins 21.87x 2026-11-06 20:43 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-factory-new) Hidden $64.17 91.67 coins $1,403 2,005 coins 21.87x 2026-11-05 12:02 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-factory-new) Hidden $64.17 91.67 coins $1,403 2,005 coins 21.87x 2026-11-05 11:58 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-factory-new) Hidden $64.17 91.67 coins $1,403 2,005 coins 21.87x 2026-11-05 03:34 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-factory-new) Hidden $64.17 91.67 coins $1,403 2,005 coins 21.87x 2026-11-03 16:02 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-field-tested) Hidden $64.17 91.67 coins $986 1,409 coins 15.37x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC [M4A4 | Poseidon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-field-tested) Hidden $64.17 91.67 coins $986 1,409 coins 15.37x 2026-11-09 00:57 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=ventilated) [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-minimal-wear) Hidden $64.17 91.67 coins $21.26 30.37 coins 0.33x 2026-11-11 21:45 UTC [Sticker | rain (Gold) | Paris 2023 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-gold-paris-2023) Hidden $64.17 91.67 coins $3.91 5.58 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 21:45 UTC [Sticker | rain (Gold) | Paris 2023 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-gold-paris-2023) Hidden $64.17 91.67 coins $3.91 5.58 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 21:45 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) Hidden $64.17 91.67 coins $174 248 coins 2.71x 2026-11-11 21:45 UTC [Sticker | rain (Gold) | Paris 2023 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-gold-paris-2023) Hidden $64.17 91.67 coins $3.91 5.58 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 21:45 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Death by Kitty (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-death-by-kitty-minimal-wear) [max.-afa631](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/max.-afa631) $64.17 91.67 coins $187 268 coins 2.92x 2026-11-11 21:45 UTC [Sticker | rain (Gold) | Paris 2023 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-gold-paris-2023) Hidden $64.17 91.67 coins $3.91 5.58 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 21:05 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) Hidden $64.17 91.67 coins $9.76 13.95 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 21:05 UTC [Sticker | rain (Gold) | Paris 2023 sticker · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-rain-gold-paris-2023) Hidden $64.17 91.67 coins $3.91 5.58 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 21:05 UTC [AK-47 | Jaguar (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-minimal-wear) Hidden $64.17 91.67 coins $61.36 87.65 coins 0.96x 2026-11-11 21:05 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,487 (23.17x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 99.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $99.76 on average: an expected loss of $0.24 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt