--- title: "Vinyl case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Vinyl ($56.76) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 92.25% over 24.4K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vinyl rendered: 2026-11-11T19:22Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Vinyl](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vinyl) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Vinyl A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vinyl?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vinyl?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vinyl) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vinyl?window=all) Price · $56.76 · 81.08 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 92.25% · 24.4K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 69.34% ±17.39 2,105 openings 7 days · 89.46% ±7.11 19.4K openings 30 days · 92.25% ±6.49 24.4K openings since tracking started · 92.25% ±6.49 24.4K openings 51.5% 75.5% 99.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vinyl?window=24h) | 2,105 | 69.34% ±17.4 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vinyl?window=7d) | 19.4K | 89.46% ±7.11 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vinyl) | 24.4K | 92.25% ±6.49 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/vinyl?window=all) | 24.4K | 92.25% ±6.49 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $56.76 81.08 coins $5,207 7,439 coins 91.75x 2026-11-09 16:24 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) [eric cartman69](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/eric%20cartman69) $56.76 81.08 coins $5,207 7,439 coins 91.75x 2026-11-09 09:39 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $56.76 81.08 coins $5,207 7,439 coins 91.75x 2026-11-07 21:49 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $56.76 81.08 coins $5,207 7,439 coins 91.75x 2026-11-07 21:26 UTC [AWP | Dragon Lore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-dragon-lore-battle-scarred) [N4l3x](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/N4l3x) $56.76 81.08 coins $5,207 7,439 coins 91.75x 2026-11-05 18:42 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-nitro-minimal-wear) Hidden $56.76 81.08 coins $4,790 6,842 coins 84.39x 2026-11-10 11:24 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-nitro-minimal-wear) Hidden $56.76 81.08 coins $4,790 6,842 coins 84.39x 2026-11-09 15:23 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-nitro-minimal-wear) Hidden $56.76 81.08 coins $4,790 6,842 coins 84.39x 2026-11-06 21:55 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-nitro-minimal-wear) Hidden $56.76 81.08 coins $4,790 6,842 coins 84.39x 2026-11-03 12:21 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Nitro (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-nitro-minimal-wear) Hidden $56.76 81.08 coins $4,790 6,842 coins 84.39x 2026-11-03 02:02 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=vinyl) [Music Kit | Darude, Moments CSGO music kit · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-darude-moments-csgo) Hidden $56.76 81.08 coins $2.64 3.77 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:20 UTC [Music Kit | Darude, Moments CSGO music kit · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-darude-moments-csgo) Hidden $56.76 81.08 coins $2.64 3.77 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:20 UTC [Music Kit | Darude, Moments CSGO music kit · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-darude-moments-csgo) Hidden $56.76 81.08 coins $2.64 3.77 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:20 UTC [Music Kit | Darude, Moments CSGO music kit · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-darude-moments-csgo) Hidden $56.76 81.08 coins $2.64 3.77 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:20 UTC [Music Kit | Darude, Moments CSGO music kit · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-darude-moments-csgo) Hidden $56.76 81.08 coins $2.64 3.77 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:20 UTC [Music Kit | Darude, Moments CSGO music kit · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-darude-moments-csgo) Hidden $56.76 81.08 coins $2.64 3.77 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:20 UTC [Music Kit | Darude, Moments CSGO music kit · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-darude-moments-csgo) Hidden $56.76 81.08 coins $2.64 3.77 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:20 UTC [Music Kit | Darude, Moments CSGO music kit · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-darude-moments-csgo) [Rajagamba](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Rajagamba) $56.76 81.08 coins $2.64 3.77 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:20 UTC [Music Kit | Darude, Moments CSGO music kit · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-darude-moments-csgo) Hidden $56.76 81.08 coins $2.64 3.77 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:17 UTC [Music Kit | Darude, Moments CSGO music kit · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-darude-moments-csgo) Hidden $56.76 81.08 coins $2.64 3.77 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 19:17 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $5,207 (91.75x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.25 on average: an expected loss of $7.75 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt