--- title: "Virus case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Virus ($1,130.21) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 93.91% over 40 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/virus rendered: 2026-11-12T07:20Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Virus](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/virus) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Virus A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/virus?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/virus?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/virus) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/virus?window=all) Price · $1,130.21 · 1,615 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 93.91% · 40 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 8 openings · below min 30 days · 40 openings · below min since tracking started · 40 openings · below min -0.5% 76.5% 153.5% **Small sample.** 40 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/virus?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/virus?window=7d) | 8 | 70.63% ±74.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/virus) | 40 | 93.91% ±59.0 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/virus?window=all) | 40 | 93.91% ±59.0 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,130 1,615 coins $7,926 11,323 coins 7.01x 2026-11-03 23:40 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,130 1,615 coins $7,926 11,323 coins 7.01x 2026-11-03 23:33 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-minimal-wear) Hidden $1,130 1,615 coins $7,926 11,323 coins 7.01x 2026-11-03 23:25 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) Hidden $1,130 1,615 coins $3,545 5,064 coins 3.14x 2026-11-09 11:38 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) Hidden $1,130 1,615 coins $3,545 5,064 coins 3.14x 2026-11-03 23:40 UTC [★ Karambit | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $1,130 1,615 coins $2,080 2,972 coins 1.84x 2026-11-03 23:25 UTC [★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) [DameTime619](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/DameTime619) $1,130 1,615 coins $1,425 2,035 coins 1.26x 2026-11-03 23:40 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-well-worn) [w1seman](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/w1seman) $1,130 1,615 coins $1,323 1,890 coins 1.17x 2026-11-09 11:39 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $1,130 1,615 coins $987 1,410 coins 0.87x 2026-11-09 11:39 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $1,130 1,615 coins $987 1,410 coins 0.87x 2026-11-03 23:33 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=virus) [StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-virus-factory-new) Hidden $1,130 1,615 coins $19.51 27.87 coins 0.02x 2026-11-09 11:39 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-virus-factory-new) Hidden $1,130 1,615 coins $19.51 27.87 coins 0.02x 2026-11-09 11:39 UTC [★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $1,130 1,615 coins $987 1,410 coins 0.87x 2026-11-09 11:39 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-well-worn) [w1seman](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/w1seman) $1,130 1,615 coins $1,323 1,890 coins 1.17x 2026-11-09 11:39 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-virus-factory-new) Hidden $1,130 1,615 coins $19.51 27.87 coins 0.02x 2026-11-09 11:38 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $1,130 1,615 coins $453 646 coins 0.40x 2026-11-09 11:38 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-field-tested) Hidden $1,130 1,615 coins $3,545 5,064 coins 3.14x 2026-11-09 11:38 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Virus (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-virus-factory-new) [w1seman](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/w1seman) $1,130 1,615 coins $19.51 27.87 coins 0.02x 2026-11-09 11:38 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $7,926 (7.01x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.91 on average: an expected loss of $6.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt