--- title: "Warm Up case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Warm Up ($0.80) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 87.90% over 6,199 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/warm-up rendered: 2026-11-11T13:19Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Warm Up](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/warm-up) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Warm Up A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/warm-up?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/warm-up?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/warm-up) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/warm-up?window=all) Price · $0.80 · 1.15 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 87.90% · 6,199 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 730 openings · below min 7 days · 87.70% ±2.72 5,493 openings 30 days · 87.90% ±2.56 6,199 openings since tracking started · 87.90% ±2.56 6,199 openings 83.0% 91.0% 99.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/warm-up?window=24h) | 730 | 90.89% ±7.39 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/warm-up?window=7d) | 5,493 | 87.70% ±2.72 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/warm-up) | 6,199 | 87.90% ±2.56 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/warm-up?window=all) | 6,199 | 87.90% ±2.56 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=warm-up) [Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cold-fusion-well-worn) Hidden $0.80 1.15 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC [Tec-9 | Ice Cap (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-field-tested) Hidden $0.80 1.15 coins $0.10 0.14 coins 0.12x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC [Sticker | Great Wave sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-great-wave) [Paolo](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Paolo) $0.80 1.15 coins $1.06 1.52 coins 1.32x 2026-11-11 13:09 UTC [Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cold-fusion-well-worn) Hidden $0.80 1.15 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC [R8 Revolver | Phoenix Marker (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-phoenix-marker-well-worn) Hidden $0.80 1.15 coins $2.32 3.32 coins 2.89x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC [StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Cobalt Core (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-cobalt-core-factory-new) Hidden $0.80 1.15 coins $1.36 1.94 coins 1.69x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC [Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cold-fusion-well-worn) Hidden $0.80 1.15 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC [Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cold-fusion-well-worn) Hidden $0.80 1.15 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC [Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cold-fusion-well-worn) [사나](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/%EC%82%AC%EB%82%98) $0.80 1.15 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC [Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cold-fusion-well-worn) Hidden $0.80 1.15 coins $0.03 0.05 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 12:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.90 on average: an expected loss of $12.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt