--- title: "Wear & Tear case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Wear & Tear ($25.68) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 84.37% over 1,528 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/wear-tear rendered: 2026-11-11T18:39Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Wear & Tear](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/wear-tear) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Wear & Tear A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/wear-tear?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/wear-tear?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/wear-tear) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/wear-tear?window=all) Price · $25.68 · 36.68 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 84.37% · 1,528 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 44 openings · below min 7 days · 89.28% ±13.58 1,212 openings 30 days · 84.37% ±11.35 1,528 openings since tracking started · 84.37% ±11.35 1,528 openings 29.5% 115.2% 201.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/wear-tear?window=24h) | 44 | 115.47% ±85.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/wear-tear?window=7d) | 1,212 | 89.28% ±13.6 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/wear-tear) | 1,528 | 84.37% ±11.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/wear-tear?window=all) | 1,528 | 84.37% ±11.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) Hidden $25.68 36.68 coins $827 1,181 coins 32.21x 2026-11-08 01:02 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) [Mr.J](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Mr.J) $25.68 36.68 coins $798 1,140 coins 31.09x 2026-11-04 19:56 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=wear-tear) [M4A1-S | Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-battle-scarred) Hidden $25.68 36.68 coins $97.98 140 coins 3.82x 2026-11-11 18:16 UTC [M4A1-S | Nitro (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-well-worn) Hidden $25.68 36.68 coins $0.66 0.95 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:16 UTC [M4A4 | 龍王 (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-factory-new) Hidden $25.68 36.68 coins $26.40 37.72 coins 1.03x 2026-11-11 18:16 UTC [M4A1-S | Nitro (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-well-worn) Hidden $25.68 36.68 coins $0.66 0.95 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:16 UTC [M4A1-S | Nitro (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-well-worn) Hidden $25.68 36.68 coins $0.66 0.95 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 18:16 UTC [M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-battle-scarred) [4erniqRicar](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/4erniqRicar) $25.68 36.68 coins $15.90 22.71 coins 0.62x 2026-11-11 18:16 UTC [M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-battle-scarred) Hidden $25.68 36.68 coins $15.90 22.71 coins 0.62x 2026-11-11 11:58 UTC [P2000 | Obsidian (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-obsidian-factory-new) Hidden $25.68 36.68 coins $6.87 9.82 coins 0.27x 2026-11-11 11:58 UTC [P2000 | Obsidian (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-obsidian-minimal-wear) Hidden $25.68 36.68 coins $2.70 3.85 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 11:58 UTC [M4A1-S | Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-cyrex-battle-scarred) Hidden $25.68 36.68 coins $15.90 22.71 coins 0.62x 2026-11-11 11:58 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $827 (32.21x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 84.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $84.37 on average: an expected loss of $15.63 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt