--- title: "Witchcraft case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Witchcraft ($8.03) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 86.39% over 8,466 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/witchcraft rendered: 2026-11-11T14:34Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [Witchcraft](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/witchcraft) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · Witchcraft A case on Rain.gg, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/witchcraft?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/witchcraft?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/witchcraft) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/witchcraft?window=all) Price · $8.03 · 11.47 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 86.39% · 8,466 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 984 openings · below min 7 days · 89.87% ±14.18 6,725 openings 30 days · 86.39% ±12.22 8,466 openings since tracking started · 86.39% ±12.22 8,466 openings 61.0% 103.5% 146.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/witchcraft?window=24h) | 984 | 103.66% ±41.8 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/witchcraft?window=7d) | 6,725 | 89.87% ±14.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/witchcraft) | 8,466 | 86.39% ±12.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/witchcraft?window=all) | 8,466 | 86.39% ±12.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [SSG 08 | Sea Calico (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sea-calico-field-tested) [Nik4ou](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Nik4ou) $8.03 11.47 coins $467 667 coins 58.12x 2026-11-11 14:32 UTC [SSG 08 | Sea Calico (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sea-calico-field-tested) Hidden $8.03 11.47 coins $467 667 coins 58.12x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC [SSG 08 | Sea Calico (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sea-calico-field-tested) Hidden $8.03 11.47 coins $467 667 coins 58.12x 2026-11-11 01:15 UTC [SSG 08 | Sea Calico (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sea-calico-field-tested) Hidden $8.03 11.47 coins $467 667 coins 58.12x 2026-11-11 01:02 UTC [SSG 08 | Sea Calico (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sea-calico-field-tested) Hidden $8.03 11.47 coins $467 667 coins 58.12x 2026-11-11 01:02 UTC [SSG 08 | Sea Calico (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sea-calico-field-tested) [craz-275372](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/craz-275372) $8.03 11.47 coins $467 667 coins 58.12x 2026-11-11 00:52 UTC [SSG 08 | Sea Calico (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sea-calico-field-tested) Hidden $8.03 11.47 coins $467 667 coins 58.12x 2026-11-11 00:28 UTC [SSG 08 | Sea Calico (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sea-calico-field-tested) Hidden $8.03 11.47 coins $467 667 coins 58.12x 2026-11-10 23:47 UTC [SSG 08 | Sea Calico (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sea-calico-field-tested) Hidden $8.03 11.47 coins $467 667 coins 58.12x 2026-11-10 19:00 UTC [SSG 08 | Sea Calico (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sea-calico-field-tested) Hidden $8.03 11.47 coins $467 667 coins 58.12x 2026-11-10 18:57 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=witchcraft) [StatTrak™ P90 | Grim (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-grim-well-worn) Hidden $8.03 11.47 coins $0.46 0.66 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 14:32 UTC [SSG 08 | Sea Calico (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sea-calico-field-tested) [Nik4ou](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Nik4ou) $8.03 11.47 coins $467 667 coins 58.12x 2026-11-11 14:32 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Grim (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-grim-well-worn) Hidden $8.03 11.47 coins $0.46 0.66 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 14:31 UTC [Souvenir MP7 | Tall Grass (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp7-tall-grass-battle-scarred) Hidden $8.03 11.47 coins $0.04 0.06 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:31 UTC [Souvenir MP7 | Tall Grass (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp7-tall-grass-battle-scarred) [cpt.](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/cpt.) $8.03 11.47 coins $0.04 0.06 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:31 UTC [Souvenir MP7 | Tall Grass (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp7-tall-grass-battle-scarred) Hidden $8.03 11.47 coins $0.04 0.06 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:30 UTC [Souvenir MP7 | Tall Grass (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp7-tall-grass-battle-scarred) Hidden $8.03 11.47 coins $0.04 0.06 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:30 UTC [Souvenir MP7 | Tall Grass (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp7-tall-grass-battle-scarred) Hidden $8.03 11.47 coins $0.04 0.06 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:30 UTC [StatTrak™ P90 | Grim (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-grim-well-worn) Hidden $8.03 11.47 coins $0.46 0.66 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 14:30 UTC [Souvenir MP7 | Tall Grass (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp7-tall-grass-battle-scarred) Hidden $8.03 11.47 coins $0.04 0.06 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $467 (58.12x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 86.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $86.39 on average: an expected loss of $13.61 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt