--- title: "X case on Rain.gg: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "X ($41.45) on Rain.gg, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 82.05% over 310 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/x rendered: 2026-11-11T15:34Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) / [X](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/x) # [Rain.gg](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/rain) · X A case on Rain.gg, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Rain.gg's own item price converted from Rain coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/x?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/x?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/x) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/x?window=all) Price · $41.45 · 59.22 coins Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 82.05% · 310 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 9 openings · below min 7 days · 248 openings · below min 30 days · 310 openings · below min since tracking started · 310 openings · below min 32.5% 131.5% 230.5% **Small sample.** 310 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/x?window=24h) | 9 | 131.55% ±98.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/x?window=7d) | 248 | 83.08% ±14.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/x) | 310 | 82.05% ±12.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/rain/x?window=all) | 310 | 82.05% ±12.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Rain.gg publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Rain.gg's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=rain&case=x) [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-devourer-field-tested) Hidden $41.45 59.22 coins $7.01 10.02 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 05:22 UTC [USP-S | Target Acquired (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-field-tested) Hidden $41.45 59.22 coins $146 208 coins 3.51x 2026-11-11 05:22 UTC [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-devourer-field-tested) Hidden $41.45 59.22 coins $7.01 10.02 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 05:22 UTC [USP-S | Target Acquired (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-field-tested) Hidden $41.45 59.22 coins $146 208 coins 3.51x 2026-11-11 05:22 UTC [MP9 | Pandora's Box (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-factory-new) Hidden $41.45 59.22 coins $118 168 coins 2.84x 2026-11-11 05:22 UTC [Souvenir Galil AR | Cerberus (Field-Tested) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-galil-ar-cerberus-field-tested) Hidden $41.45 59.22 coins $29.05 41.5 coins 0.70x 2026-11-11 05:22 UTC [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-devourer-field-tested) Hidden $41.45 59.22 coins $7.01 10.02 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 05:22 UTC [M4A1-S | Moss Quartz (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-moss-quartz-field-tested) Hidden $41.45 59.22 coins $24.71 35.3 coins 0.60x 2026-11-11 05:22 UTC [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-devourer-field-tested) [Merlin l'enfanteur](https://gambatracker.com/players/rain/Merlin%20l'enfanteur) $41.45 59.22 coins $7.01 10.02 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 05:22 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Emerald Quartz (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-quartz-field-tested) Hidden $41.45 59.22 coins $95.20 136 coins 2.30x 2026-11-10 14:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 82.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $82.05 on average: an expected loss of $17.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt