--- title: "2021 Mirage case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops" description: "2021 Mirage ($0.50) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 91.71% over 18.1K openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/2021-mirage-collection rendered: 2026-11-13T03:38Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [2021 Mirage](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/2021-mirage-collection) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · 2021 Mirage A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/2021-mirage-collection?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/2021-mirage-collection?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/2021-mirage-collection) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/2021-mirage-collection?window=all) Price · $0.50 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 91.71% · 18.1K openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 833 openings · below min 7 days · 91.86% ±4.48 12.7K openings 30 days · 91.71% ±3.68 18.1K openings since tracking started · 91.71% ±3.68 18.1K openings 77.5% 99.3% 121.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/2021-mirage-collection?window=24h) | 833 | 99.23% ±21.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/2021-mirage-collection?window=7d) | 12.7K | 91.86% ±4.48 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/2021-mirage-collection) | 18.1K | 91.71% ±3.68 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/2021-mirage-collection?window=all) | 18.1K | 91.71% ±3.68 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AUG | Sand Storm (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sand-storm-factory-new) Hidden $0.46 $27.36 59.48x 2026-11-11 06:48 UTC [XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-elegant-vines-factory-new) [kriskoaleluq4](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/kriskoaleluq4) $0.50 $26.57 53.14x 2026-11-04 23:12 UTC [XM1014 | Elegant Vines (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-elegant-vines-factory-new) Hidden $0.45 $25.42 56.49x 2026-11-10 00:24 UTC [AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sand-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.46 $23.63 51.37x 2026-11-11 17:06 UTC [AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sand-storm-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.46 $23.63 51.37x 2026-11-11 14:36 UTC [AUG | Sand Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sand-storm-minimal-wear) [jason der goat](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/jason%20der%20goat) $0.46 $23.58 51.26x 2026-11-11 18:38 UTC [Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-field-tested) [Serahp](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Serahp) $0.46 $23.50 51.09x 2026-11-12 06:54 UTC [Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $0.46 $23.40 50.87x 2026-11-13 02:08 UTC [Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $0.45 $23.38 51.96x 2026-11-09 19:36 UTC [Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-pink-ddpat-field-tested) Hidden $0.46 $23.36 50.78x 2026-11-11 17:40 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=2021-mirage-collection) [CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-midnight-palm-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.46 $0.63 1.37x 2026-11-13 03:26 UTC [MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-sienna-damask-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.46 $0.26 0.57x 2026-11-13 03:26 UTC [P250 | Drought (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-drought-field-tested) Hidden $0.46 $0.12 0.26x 2026-11-13 03:26 UTC [SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-prey-minimal-wear) [Ched](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Ched) $0.46 $0.18 0.39x 2026-11-13 03:26 UTC [MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-sienna-damask-field-tested) Hidden $0.46 $0.15 0.33x 2026-11-13 02:57 UTC [MAC-10 | Sienna Damask (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-sienna-damask-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.46 $0.27 0.59x 2026-11-13 02:57 UTC [MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-navy-sheen-minimal-wear) [kikki66](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/kikki66) $0.46 $0.32 0.70x 2026-11-13 02:57 UTC [SSG 08 | Prey (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-prey-minimal-wear) [Gresi\_loftar\_!!!](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Gresi_loftar_!!!) $0.46 $0.17 0.37x 2026-11-13 02:57 UTC [SSG 08 | Prey (Field-Tested) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-prey-field-tested) Hidden $0.46 $0.19 0.41x 2026-11-13 02:57 UTC [MAG-7 | Navy Sheen (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-navy-sheen-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.46 $0.32 0.70x 2026-11-13 02:57 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $27.36 (59.48x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.71 on average: an expected loss of $8.29 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt