---
title: "AK-47 case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "AK-47 ($2.48) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.47% from 47 items with odds, observed 92.87% over 88.4K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/ak-47
rendered: 2026-11-12T06:50Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [AK-47](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/ak-47)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · AK-47

A case on Skin.club (By type), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/ak-47?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/ak-47?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/ak-47) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/ak-47?window=all)

Price · $2.48

Advertised RTP · 92.47% · EV $2.29 from 47 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 92.87% · 88.4K openings, odds method

Variance · 8.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 18 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 74.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 99.29% ±5.93 9,739 openings

7 days · 93.74% ±2.33 68.6K openings

30 days · 92.87% ±2.06 88.4K openings

since tracking started · 92.87% ±2.06 88.4K openings

90.0% 98.0% 106.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/ak-47?window=24h) | 9,739 | 99.29% ±5.93 | +2.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/ak-47?window=7d) | 68.6K | 93.74% ±2.33 | +1.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/ak-47) | 88.4K | 92.87% ±2.06 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/ak-47?window=all) | 88.4K | 92.87% ±2.06 | +0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 47 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 88.5K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $208 | 0.9% | 17 | 8.8 | 1.92× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $170 | 0.7% | 5 | 8.8 | 0.57× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $132 | 0.6% | 6 | 8.8 | 0.68× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $125 | 0.5% | 9 | 8.8 | 1.02× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $120 | 0.5% | 10 | 8.8 | 1.13× |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $115 | 1.0% | 21 | 17.7 | 1.19× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $114 | 1.0% | 68 | 17.7 | 3.84× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $108 | 0.9% | 31 | 17.7 | 1.75× |
| [AK-47 \| First Class (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-first-class-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $90.00 | 1.2% | 34 | 26.5 | 1.28× |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $89.02 | 1.2% | 23 | 26.5 | 0.87× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $86.56 | 1.5% | 49 | 35.4 | 1.38× |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $82.29 | 1.8% | 59 | 44.2 | 1.33× |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $72.41 | 1.6% | 27 | 44.2 | 0.61× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,667 | $65.80 | 1.7% | 195 | 53.1 | 3.67× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,429 | $56.65 | 1.7% | 49 | 61.9 | 0.79× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,429 | $53.00 | 1.6% | 40 | 61.9 | 0.65× |
| [AK-47 \| Inheritance (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-inheritance-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $51.39 | 2.2% | 81 | 88.5 | 0.92× |
| [AK-47 \| Green Laminate (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-green-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $47.66 | 2.1% | 108 | 88.5 | 1.22× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 833 | $45.12 | 2.4% | 107 | 106.2 | 1.01× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 833 | $36.28 | 1.9% | 425 | 106.2 | 4.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-minimal-wear) | 1 in 833 | $27.41 | 1.4% | 137 | 106.2 | 1.29× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 833 | $27.26 | 1.4% | 114 | 106.2 | 1.07× |
| [AK-47 \| Searing Rage (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-searing-rage-factory-new) | 1 in 833 | $21.88 | 1.1% | 228 | 106.2 | 2.15× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $21.49 | 1.4% | 122 | 132.7 | 0.92× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 455 | $21.48 | 2.1% | 107 | 194.7 | 0.55× |
| [AK-47 \| Nouveau Rouge (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nouveau-rouge-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $20.75 | 1.8% | 138 | 177.0 | 0.78× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 400 | $14.16 | 1.5% | 256 | 221.2 | 1.16× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 345 | $13.45 | 1.7% | 199 | 256.6 | 0.78× |
| [AK-47 \| Predator (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-predator-field-tested) | 1 in 333 | $13.30 | 1.7% | 273 | 265.4 | 1.03× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $11.33 | 1.5% | 215 | 265.4 | 0.81× |
| [AK-47 \| Jungle Spray (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 313 | $10.77 | 1.5% | 155 | 283.1 | 0.55× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $8.18 | 1.4% | 499 | 353.9 | 1.41× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $6.86 | 1.2% | 353 | 353.9 | 1.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $6.81 | 1.2% | 376 | 353.9 | 1.06× |
| [AK-47 \| Baroque Purple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $6.38 | 1.4% | 192 | 442.4 | 0.43× |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 167 | $6.22 | 1.6% | 777 | 530.9 | 1.46× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 152 | $5.85 | 1.7% | 408 | 584.0 | 0.70× |
| [AK-47 \| Crossfade (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-crossfade-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $4.09 | 1.4% | 690 | 707.8 | 0.97× |
| [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125 | $3.50 | 1.2% | 474 | 707.8 | 0.67× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 111 | $3.09 | 1.2% | 6,532 | 796.3 | 8.20× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $2.82 | 8.6% | 6,774 | 6193.7 | 1.09× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-field-tested) | 10.0% | $2.81 | 12.3% | 4,958 | 8848.1 | 0.56× |
| [AK-47 \| Steel Delta (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) | 11.0% | $1.78 | 8.5% | 11,098 | 9732.9 | 1.14× |
| [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-minimal-wear) | 13.0% | $1.40 | 7.9% | 7,636 | 11502.5 | 0.66× |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.59 | 3.9% | 13,294 | 13272.1 | 1.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Olive Polycam (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-olive-polycam-minimal-wear) | 16.2% | $0.14 | 1.0% | 15,615 | 14333.9 | 1.09× |
| [AK-47 \| VariCamo Grey (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-minimal-wear) | 19.0% | $0.13 | 1.1% | 15,497 | 16811.4 | 0.92× |

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `skinclub:apiv2/cases/ak-47`, 12 Nov, 02:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) [SkymanPJ](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/SkymanPJ) $3.04 $228 75.16x 2026-11-08 03:14 UTC

[AK-47 | Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.02 $228 75.55x 2026-11-07 22:33 UTC

[AK-47 | Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) [Feral Pulse](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Feral%20Pulse) $3.00 $228 75.97x 2026-11-05 13:09 UTC

[AK-47 | Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) [Pablo](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Pablo) $3.00 $228 75.97x 2026-11-05 00:27 UTC

[AK-47 | Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.00 $228 75.97x 2026-11-04 16:40 UTC

[AK-47 | Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) [xtime31](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/xtime31) $3.00 $228 75.97x 2026-11-04 00:34 UTC

[AK-47 | Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) [CUMI](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/CUMI) $3.00 $228 75.97x 2026-11-03 23:22 UTC

[AK-47 | Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.00 $228 75.97x 2026-11-03 22:10 UTC

[AK-47 | Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) [Fushigi Fondler](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Fushigi%20Fondler) $3.02 $227 75.24x 2026-11-08 03:46 UTC

[AK-47 | Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) [Lym](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Lym) $3.02 $227 75.03x 2026-11-08 05:20 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=ak-47)

[AK-47 | VariCamo Grey (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-minimal-wear) [Dr. Livesey](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Dr.%20Livesey) $2.48 $0.12 0.05x 2026-11-12 06:45 UTC

[AK-47 | Steel Delta (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) Hidden $2.48 $1.76 0.71x 2026-11-12 06:45 UTC

[AK-47 | Safety Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-field-tested) Hidden $2.48 $2.80 1.13x 2026-11-12 06:45 UTC

[AK-47 | Steel Delta (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) [sLdr](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/sLdr) $2.48 $1.76 0.71x 2026-11-12 06:45 UTC

[AK-47 | Wintergreen (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.48 $1.39 0.56x 2026-11-12 06:45 UTC

[AK-47 | Steel Delta (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) [sLdr](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/sLdr) $2.48 $1.76 0.71x 2026-11-12 06:45 UTC

[AK-47 | Steel Delta (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-minimal-wear) Hidden $2.48 $2.82 1.14x 2026-11-12 06:45 UTC

[AK-47 | VariCamo Grey (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-minimal-wear) [sLdr](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/sLdr) $2.48 $0.12 0.05x 2026-11-12 06:45 UTC

[AK-47 | Steel Delta (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-steel-delta-field-tested) Hidden $2.48 $1.76 0.71x 2026-11-12 06:45 UTC

[AK-47 | VariCamo Grey (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-minimal-wear) [sLdr](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/sLdr) $2.48 $0.12 0.05x 2026-11-12 06:45 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 12 Nov, 02:51 UTC | $2.48 | 92.47% | 47 |
| 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC | $2.48 | 92.38% | 47 |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $2.46 | 92.69% | 47 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $2.46 | 92.61% | 47 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $2.46 | 92.50% | 47 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $2.46 | 92.38% | 47 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $2.46 | 92.48% | 47 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $2.46 | 92.33% | 47 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $2.47 | 92.38% | 47 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $2.46 | 92.61% | 47 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $2.46 | 92.45% | 47 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $3.00 | 92.57% | 47 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $3.02 | 92.37% | 47 |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $3.02 | 92.45% | 47 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $3.01 | 92.65% | 47 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $3.01 | 92.63% | 47 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $3.02 | 92.50% | 47 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $3.02 | 92.56% | 47 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $3.02 | 92.65% | 47 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $3.01 | 92.59% | 47 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $3.00 | 92.61% | 47 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $3.00 | 92.39% | 47 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $3.01 | 92.35% | 47 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $3.01 | 92.39% | 47 |
| 3 Nov, 04:53 UTC | $3.00 | 92.56% | 47 |
| 3 Nov, 03:49 UTC | $3.00 | 92.48% | 47 |
| 3 Nov, 02:33 UTC | $3.00 | 92.36% | 47 |
| 3 Nov, 01:40 UTC | $3.00 | 92.46% | 47 |
| 2 Nov, 22:27 UTC | $3.00 | 92.44% | 47 |
| 2 Nov, 21:40 UTC | $3.00 | 92.50% | 47 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed red 0.2% covert 0.3% classified 0.5% restricted 11.5% Ancient 0.2% rare 0.1% mil spec 0.1% pink 0.1% Legendary 1.2% industrial 1.5% Mythical 1.4% #4b69ff 0.8% milspec 0.9% Rare 33.0% blue 13.0% Uncommon 35.2% best hit $228 (75.16x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.47 on average: an expected loss of $7.53 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt