--- title: "Ancient case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Ancient ($5.21) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 94.83% over 2,607 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/ancient-collection rendered: 2026-11-12T05:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/ancient-collection) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Ancient A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/ancient-collection?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/ancient-collection?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/ancient-collection) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/ancient-collection?window=all) Price · $5.21 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 94.83% · 2,607 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 500 openings · below min 7 days · 96.18% ±15.72 2,021 openings 30 days · 94.83% ±12.94 2,607 openings since tracking started · 94.83% ±12.94 2,607 openings 62.5% 87.5% 112.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/ancient-collection?window=24h) | 500 | 84.18% ±21.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/ancient-collection?window=7d) | 2,021 | 96.18% ±15.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/ancient-collection) | 2,607 | 94.83% ±12.9 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/ancient-collection?window=all) | 2,607 | 94.83% ±12.9 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.27 $556 105.5x 2026-11-07 01:51 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=ancient-collection) [Galil AR | Dusk Ruins (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-dusk-ruins-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.35 $7.27 1.36x 2026-11-12 05:14 UTC [R8 Revolver | Night (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-night-minimal-wear) [Jeetle Buice](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Jeetle%20Buice) $5.35 $0.46 0.09x 2026-11-12 05:14 UTC [R8 Revolver | Night (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-night-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.35 $0.46 0.09x 2026-11-12 05:14 UTC [Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-army-sheen-factory-new) Hidden $5.35 $0.40 0.07x 2026-11-12 05:14 UTC [SG 553 | Lush Ruins (Minimal Wear) weapon · grey](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-lush-ruins-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.35 $0.41 0.08x 2026-11-12 05:14 UTC [Galil AR | Dusk Ruins (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-dusk-ruins-factory-new) [Jeetle Buice](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Jeetle%20Buice) $5.35 $37.62 7.03x 2026-11-12 05:14 UTC [Galil AR | Dusk Ruins (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-dusk-ruins-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.35 $7.27 1.36x 2026-11-12 05:14 UTC [SG 553 | Lush Ruins (Minimal Wear) weapon · grey](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-lush-ruins-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.35 $0.41 0.08x 2026-11-12 05:14 UTC [MP7 | Tall Grass (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-tall-grass-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.35 $2.57 0.48x 2026-11-12 03:32 UTC [Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-army-sheen-factory-new) Hidden $5.35 $0.40 0.07x 2026-11-12 03:32 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $556 (105.5x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.8% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.83 on average: an expected loss of $5.17 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt