---
title: "AUG case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "AUG ($0.72) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.00% from 29 items with odds, observed 91.92% over 55.2K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/aug
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:44Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [AUG](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/aug)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · AUG

A case on Skin.club (By type), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/aug?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/aug?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/aug) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/aug?window=all)

Price · $0.72

Advertised RTP · 93.00% · EV $0.67 from 29 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.92% · 55.2K openings, odds method

Variance · 11.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 15.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 76.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 90.83% ±8.15 6,580 openings

7 days · 91.89% ±3.10 44K openings

30 days · 91.92% ±2.78 55.2K openings

since tracking started · 91.92% ±2.78 55.2K openings

82.0% 90.8% 99.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/aug?window=24h) | 6,580 | 90.83% ±8.15 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/aug?window=7d) | 44K | 91.89% ±3.10 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/aug) | 55.2K | 91.92% ±2.78 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/aug?window=all) | 55.2K | 91.92% ±2.78 | −0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 29 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 55.2K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AUG \| Chameleon (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $90.06 | 6.7% | 26 | 27.6 | 0.94× |
| [AUG \| Lil' Pig (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-lil-pig-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $22.24 | 3.3% | 58 | 55.2 | 1.05× |
| [AUG \| Anodized Navy (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-anodized-navy-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $21.14 | 3.2% | 46 | 55.2 | 0.83× |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $13.42 | 2.0% | 53 | 55.2 | 0.96× |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $12.63 | 1.9% | 51 | 55.2 | 0.92× |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $12.18 | 1.8% | 60 | 55.2 | 1.09× |
| [AUG \| Wings (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-wings-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $11.96 | 1.8% | 61 | 55.2 | 1.10× |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $9.62 | 1.4% | 59 | 55.2 | 1.07× |
| [AUG \| Carved Jade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-carved-jade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $8.84 | 1.3% | 60 | 55.2 | 1.09× |
| [AUG \| Torque (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $8.54 | 1.3% | 39 | 55.2 | 0.71× |
| [AUG \| Daedalus (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-daedalus-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $5.94 | 0.9% | 94 | 55.2 | 1.70× |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $4.82 | 1.4% | 128 | 110.5 | 1.16× |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $3.53 | 1.1% | 104 | 110.5 | 0.94× |
| [AUG \| Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-radiation-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $3.35 | 1.0% | 215 | 110.5 | 1.95× |
| [AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $3.30 | 1.0% | 132 | 110.5 | 1.19× |
| [AUG \| Navy Murano (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-navy-murano-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $3.29 | 2.5% | 120 | 276.2 | 0.43× |
| [AUG \| Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $3.29 | 1.0% | 272 | 110.5 | 2.46× |
| [AUG \| Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-colony-field-tested) | 1 in 182 | $2.11 | 1.7% | 329 | 303.8 | 1.08× |
| [AUG \| Random Access (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-minimal-wear) | 1 in 167 | $1.79 | 1.6% | 478 | 331.4 | 1.44× |
| [AUG \| Spalted Wood (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-spalted-wood-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $1.46 | 2.2% | 239 | 552.4 | 0.43× |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $1.25 | 7.5% | 2,180 | 2209.5 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Plague (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-plague-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $1.17 | 12.2% | 3,892 | 3866.7 | 1.01× |
| [AUG \| Storm (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $0.83 | 9.9% | 4,365 | 4419.0 | 0.99× |
| [AUG \| Contractor (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-factory-new) | 10.0% | $0.66 | 9.9% | 6,257 | 5523.8 | 1.13× |
| [AUG \| Amber Slipstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-slipstream-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $0.40 | 7.2% | 6,659 | 6628.6 | 1.00× |
| [AUG \| Ricochet (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $0.38 | 6.8% | 5,929 | 6628.6 | 0.89× |
| [AUG \| Triqua (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-triqua-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $0.33 | 5.9% | 6,498 | 6628.6 | 0.98× |
| [AUG \| Condemned (Field-Tested) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-condemned-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.05 | 1.1% | 8,511 | 8285.7 | 1.03× |
| [AUG \| Sweeper (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-minimal-wear) | 15.3% | $0.02 | 0.5% | 8,323 | 8451.4 | 0.98× |

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `skinclub:apiv2/cases/aug`, 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-factory-new) [M3nzu](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/M3nzu) $0.75 $94.55 126.1x 2026-11-02 22:41 UTC

[AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-factory-new) Hidden $0.75 $94.34 125.8x 2026-11-03 03:02 UTC

[AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-factory-new) Hidden $0.75 $93.09 124.1x 2026-11-03 15:29 UTC

[AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-factory-new) Hidden $0.76 $91.64 120.6x 2026-11-06 05:07 UTC

[AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-factory-new) [WELOVEWOODS](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/WELOVEWOODS) $0.75 $91.59 122.1x 2026-11-07 01:40 UTC

[AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-factory-new) [janicka\_33](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/janicka_33) $0.75 $91.59 122.1x 2026-11-06 22:19 UTC

[AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-factory-new) Hidden $0.75 $91.59 122.1x 2026-11-06 21:41 UTC

[AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-factory-new) Hidden $0.76 $91.59 120.5x 2026-11-06 17:30 UTC

[AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-factory-new) [CheesePimp](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/CheesePimp) $0.76 $91.59 120.5x 2026-11-06 16:39 UTC

[AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-factory-new) [C✠mbat](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/C%E2%9C%A0mbat) $0.76 $91.59 120.5x 2026-11-06 15:51 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=aug)

[AUG | Triqua (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-triqua-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.73 $0.37 0.51x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC

[AUG | Contractor (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-contractor-factory-new) Hidden $0.73 $0.66 0.90x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC

[AUG | Triqua (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-triqua-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.73 $0.37 0.51x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC

[AUG | Storm (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-factory-new) [KILLATALLITY](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/KILLATALLITY) $0.73 $0.83 1.14x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC

[AUG | Sweeper (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-sweeper-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.73 $0.02 0.03x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC

[AUG | Amber Slipstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-slipstream-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.73 $0.42 0.58x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC

[AUG | Colony (Field-Tested) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-colony-field-tested) Hidden $0.73 $2.11 2.89x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC

[AUG | Ricochet (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-minimal-wear) [piyan party](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/piyan%20party) $0.73 $0.39 0.53x 2026-11-11 19:43 UTC

[AUG | Random Access (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-minimal-wear) [Stihl](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Stihl) $0.72 $1.79 2.49x 2026-11-11 19:42 UTC

[AUG | Storm (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-storm-factory-new) [xblaze0403](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/xblaze0403) $0.73 $0.83 1.14x 2026-11-11 19:42 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $0.72 | 93.00% | 29 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $0.73 | 92.27% | 29 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $0.73 | 92.80% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $0.73 | 92.19% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $0.73 | 92.41% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $0.73 | 92.88% | 29 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $0.73 | 92.70% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $0.73 | 92.71% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $0.74 | 92.48% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $0.76 | 92.84% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 02:03 UTC | $0.77 | 92.49% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $0.76 | 93.05% | 29 |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $0.76 | 92.96% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $0.76 | 92.77% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $0.76 | 92.77% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $0.77 | 92.19% | 29 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $0.77 | 92.15% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $0.77 | 91.99% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $0.75 | 92.57% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $0.75 | 91.94% | 29 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $0.75 | 92.60% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $0.75 | 92.15% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $0.76 | 92.12% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $0.76 | 92.11% | 29 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.76 | 92.37% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $0.76 | 92.28% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $0.76 | 92.28% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $0.75 | 92.69% | 29 |
| 5 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $0.75 | 92.12% | 29 |
| 4 Nov, 22:34 UTC | $0.75 | 92.26% | 29 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% uncommon 0.1% mil spec 12.2% Legendary 0.4% classified 0.4% Rare 31.1% restricted 4.3% consumer 8.6% industrial 0.2% Mythical 0.8% Common 25.9% Uncommon 1.0% #87c7ff 15.0% best hit $94.55 (126.1x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.00 on average: an expected loss of $7.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt