---
title: "AWP Battle case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "AWP Battle ($5.44) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.47% from 22 items with odds, observed 92.49% over 121K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/awp-battle
rendered: 2026-11-12T15:15Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [AWP Battle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/awp-battle)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · AWP Battle

A case on Skin.club (Battle cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/awp-battle?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/awp-battle?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/awp-battle) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/awp-battle?window=all)

Price · $5.44

Advertised RTP · 92.47% · EV $5.03 from 22 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 92.49% · 121K openings, odds method

Variance · 2.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 18.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 74.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 91.53% ±2.88 12.8K openings

7 days · 92.37% ±1.15 86.1K openings

30 days · 92.49% ±0.98 121K openings

since tracking started · 92.49% ±0.98 121K openings

88.0% 91.5% 95.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/awp-battle?window=24h) | 12.8K | 91.53% ±2.88 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/awp-battle?window=7d) | 86.1K | 92.37% ±1.15 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/awp-battle) | 121K | 92.49% ±0.98 | +0.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/awp-battle?window=all) | 121K | 92.49% ±0.98 | +0.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 22 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 121K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $220 | 1.3% | 31 | 36.4 | 0.85× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,250 | $79.61 | 1.3% | 225 | 97.0 | 2.32× |
| [AWP \| Electric Hive (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $66.94 | 1.3% | 123 | 121.3 | 1.01× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 714 | $63.00 | 1.8% | 164 | 169.8 | 0.97× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $55.17 | 2.2% | 136 | 242.5 | 0.56× |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $54.03 | 2.1% | 258 | 242.5 | 1.06× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $50.42 | 5.0% | 578 | 606.4 | 0.95× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 182 | $43.10 | 4.7% | 693 | 667.0 | 1.04× |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $32.46 | 6.5% | 2,038 | 1212.7 | 1.68× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $26.53 | 10.5% | 1,583 | 2425.4 | 0.65× |
| [AWP \| Acheron (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $8.66 | 12.1% | 8,452 | 8489.0 | 1.00× |
| [AWP \| PAW (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $7.11 | 9.9% | 8,510 | 8489.0 | 1.00× |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $6.21 | 8.6% | 8,347 | 8489.0 | 0.98× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $4.79 | 6.7% | 8,531 | 8489.0 | 1.00× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14 | $3.45 | 4.8% | 8,406 | 8489.0 | 0.99× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $3.26 | 4.5% | 8,393 | 8489.0 | 0.99× |
| [AWP \| PAW (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $3.15 | 4.4% | 8,587 | 8489.0 | 1.01× |
| [AWP \| PAW (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $2.01 | 3.2% | 10,813 | 9701.7 | 1.11× |
| [AWP \| Acheron (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11 | $1.86 | 3.3% | 10,140 | 10914.4 | 0.93× |
| [AWP \| Capillary (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $1.06 | 2.1% | 11,866 | 12127.1 | 0.98× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $1.05 | 1.9% | 11,512 | 11156.9 | 1.03× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-field-tested) | 10.0% | $0.88 | 1.7% | 11,885 | 12127.1 | 0.98× |

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `skinclub:apiv2/cases/awp_battle`, 12 Nov, 15:00 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=awp-battle)

[AWP | Capillary (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.45 $1.05 0.19x 2026-11-12 15:15 UTC

[AWP | Pit Viper (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-field-tested) [s1mple](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/s1mple) $5.45 $0.89 0.16x 2026-11-12 15:15 UTC

[AWP | Pit Viper (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-battle-scarred) Hidden $5.45 $1.05 0.19x 2026-11-12 15:14 UTC

[AWP | Pit Viper (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-field-tested) Hidden $5.45 $0.89 0.16x 2026-11-12 15:14 UTC

[AWP | Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.45 $4.80 0.88x 2026-11-12 15:14 UTC

[AWP | Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) [KURWA BOBER](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/KURWA%20BOBER) $5.45 $4.80 0.88x 2026-11-12 15:14 UTC

[AWP | Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.45 $4.80 0.88x 2026-11-12 15:14 UTC

[AWP | Acheron (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-minimal-wear) Hidden $5.45 $1.87 0.34x 2026-11-12 15:14 UTC

[AWP | Pit Viper (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-field-tested) [BOMZARAS](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/BOMZARAS) $5.45 $0.89 0.16x 2026-11-12 15:14 UTC

[AWP | Phobos (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-factory-new) Hidden $5.45 $6.29 1.15x 2026-11-12 15:13 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 12 Nov, 15:00 UTC | $5.44 | 92.47% | 22 |
| 12 Nov, 08:56 UTC | $5.42 | 92.52% | 22 |
| 12 Nov, 02:51 UTC | $5.43 | 92.54% | 22 |
| 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC | $5.42 | 92.46% | 22 |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $5.44 | 92.55% | 22 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $5.40 | 92.46% | 22 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $5.37 | 92.44% | 22 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $5.24 | 92.58% | 22 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $5.24 | 92.50% | 22 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $5.23 | 92.58% | 22 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $5.24 | 92.52% | 22 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $5.24 | 92.47% | 22 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $5.28 | 92.52% | 22 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $5.39 | 92.54% | 22 |
| 9 Nov, 02:03 UTC | $5.43 | 92.58% | 22 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $5.44 | 92.42% | 22 |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $5.42 | 92.55% | 22 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $5.42 | 92.56% | 22 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $5.44 | 92.45% | 22 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $5.45 | 92.44% | 22 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $5.44 | 92.51% | 22 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $5.45 | 92.48% | 22 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $5.44 | 92.53% | 22 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $5.42 | 92.47% | 22 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $5.38 | 92.56% | 22 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $5.41 | 92.48% | 22 |
| 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $5.38 | 92.54% | 22 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $5.41 | 92.56% | 22 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $5.43 | 92.52% | 22 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $5.41 | 92.56% | 22 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.7% classified 0.1% Ancient 1.0% red 2.0% Rare 26.0% restricted 26.2% Mythical 22.0% Legendary 7.0% #8847ff 7.0% pink 7.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.47 on average: an expected loss of $7.53 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt