---
title: "Balance Battle case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Balance Battle ($1.01) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.25% from 8 items with odds, observed 92.75% over 175K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/balance-battle
rendered: 2026-11-12T16:46Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Balance Battle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/balance-battle)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Balance Battle

A case on Skin.club (Battle cases), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/balance-battle?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/balance-battle?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/balance-battle) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/balance-battle?window=all)

Price · $1.01

Advertised RTP · 92.25% · EV $0.93 from 8 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 92.75% · 175K openings, odds method

Variance · 4.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 25.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 74.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 92.57% ±2.00 43.9K openings

7 days · 92.88% ±1.26 140K openings

30 days · 92.75% ±1.09 175K openings

since tracking started · 92.75% ±1.09 175K openings

90.0% 92.5% 95.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/balance-battle?window=24h) | 43.9K | 92.57% ±2.00 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/balance-battle?window=7d) | 140K | 92.88% ±1.26 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/balance-battle) | 175K | 92.75% ±1.09 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/balance-battle?window=all) | 175K | 92.75% ±1.09 | −0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 176K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Desert Eagle \| Starcade (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $60.03 | 0.3% | 128 | 8.8 | 14.58× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,692 | $50.42 | 0.7% | 2,365 | 22.8 | 103.63× |
| [SG 553 \| Integrale (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-minimal-wear) | 1 in 77 | $16.11 | 22.5% | 9,637 | 2282.2 | 4.22× |
| [SG 553 \| Integrale (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-field-tested) | 1 in 43 | $6.37 | 15.7% | 12,182 | 4037.7 | 3.02× |
| [MAG-7 \| Irradiated Alert (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-irradiated-alert-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $2.30 | 7.2% | 14,112 | 5090.9 | 2.77× |
| [Glock-18 \| Weasel (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-field-tested) | 19.0% | $1.28 | 26.1% | 33,305 | 33354.5 | 1.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) | 29.4% | $0.78 | 24.6% | 43,428 | 51611.7 | 0.84× |
| [Negev \| Army Sheen (Factory New) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-army-sheen-factory-new) | 45.1% | $0.06 | 2.9% | 60,393 | 79141.5 | 0.76× |

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `skinclub:apiv2/cases/balance_battle`, 12 Nov, 15:00 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Desert Eagle | Starcade (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.00 $62.69 62.69x 2026-11-11 10:55 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Starcade (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade-minimal-wear) [Dire Griffin](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Dire%20Griffin) $1.00 $61.88 61.88x 2026-11-11 16:32 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Starcade (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.01 $61.51 60.90x 2026-11-12 00:35 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Starcade (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-starcade-minimal-wear) [bman](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/bman) $1.00 $60.47 60.47x 2026-11-12 06:09 UTC

[AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) [\[ʅǝzʇᴉuɥɔS\] Phoenix.](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%5B%CA%85%C7%9Dz%CA%87%E1%B4%89u%C9%A5%C9%94S%5D%20Phoenix.) $1.00 $50.61 50.61x 2026-11-12 08:03 UTC

[AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) [Bademeisterpaul](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Bademeisterpaul) $1.00 $50.61 50.61x 2026-11-12 07:32 UTC

[AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) [Bademeisterpaul](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Bademeisterpaul) $1.00 $50.61 50.61x 2026-11-12 07:32 UTC

[AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.99 $50.58 51.09x 2026-11-11 14:47 UTC

[AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.99 $50.33 50.84x 2026-11-11 10:16 UTC

[AWP | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) Hidden $1.00 $50.22 50.22x 2026-11-12 12:33 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=balance-battle)

[Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) [Chopo kai](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Chopo%20kai) $1.00 $0.77 0.77x 2026-11-12 16:46 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) [NeVerSniTch076](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/NeVerSniTch076) $1.00 $0.77 0.77x 2026-11-12 16:46 UTC

[Glock-18 | Weasel (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-field-tested) [Soundwave](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Soundwave) $1.00 $1.27 1.27x 2026-11-12 16:46 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) [Problem ?](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Problem%20%3F) $1.00 $0.77 0.77x 2026-11-12 16:46 UTC

[Glock-18 | Weasel (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-field-tested) Hidden $1.00 $1.27 1.27x 2026-11-12 16:46 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) [JayTee](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/JayTee) $1.00 $0.77 0.77x 2026-11-12 16:46 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) Hidden $1.00 $0.77 0.77x 2026-11-12 16:46 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) Hidden $1.00 $0.77 0.77x 2026-11-12 16:46 UTC

[Glock-18 | Weasel (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-weasel-field-tested) [Soundwave](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Soundwave) $1.00 $1.27 1.27x 2026-11-12 16:45 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) [NeVerSniTch076](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/NeVerSniTch076) $1.00 $0.77 0.77x 2026-11-12 16:45 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 12 Nov, 15:00 UTC | $1.01 | 92.25% | 8 |
| 12 Nov, 08:56 UTC | $1.00 | 92.52% | 8 |
| 12 Nov, 02:51 UTC | $1.00 | 92.77% | 8 |
| 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC | $1.01 | 92.53% | 8 |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $0.99 | 92.94% | 8 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $1.00 | 92.40% | 8 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $4.00 | 92.57% | 8 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $4.00 | 92.39% | 8 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $4.00 | 92.45% | 8 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $4.01 | 92.61% | 8 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $4.01 | 92.40% | 8 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $4.02 | 92.50% | 8 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $4.03 | 92.41% | 8 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $4.01 | 92.45% | 8 |
| 9 Nov, 02:03 UTC | $4.02 | 92.59% | 8 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $4.02 | 92.53% | 8 |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $4.02 | 92.53% | 8 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $4.02 | 92.58% | 8 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $4.01 | 92.56% | 8 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $4.03 | 92.40% | 8 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $4.01 | 92.48% | 8 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $4.02 | 92.57% | 8 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $4.01 | 92.60% | 8 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $4.03 | 92.41% | 8 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $4.00 | 92.55% | 8 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $4.02 | 92.49% | 8 |
| 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $4.01 | 92.40% | 8 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $4.01 | 92.42% | 8 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $4.00 | 92.43% | 8 |
| 5 Nov, 04:38 UTC | $4.00 | 92.60% | 8 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed rare 0.0% covert 0.0% classified 3.6% consumer 2.9% Mythical 48.4% Common 45.1% best hit $62.69 (62.69x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.25 on average: an expected loss of $7.75 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt