---
title: "BIG CHICKEN case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "BIG CHICKEN ($0.42) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.00% from 28 items with odds, observed 92.71% over 57.3K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/big-chicken
rendered: 2026-11-12T07:38Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [BIG CHICKEN](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/big-chicken)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · BIG CHICKEN

A case on Skin.club (Sticker Capsules), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/big-chicken?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/big-chicken?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/big-chicken) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/big-chicken?window=all)

Price · $0.42

Advertised RTP · 93.00% · EV $0.39 from 28 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 92.71% · 57.3K openings, odds method

Variance · 1.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 22.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 84.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 94.49% ±2.58 6,998 openings

7 days · 92.90% ±1.11 41.6K openings

30 days · 92.71% ±0.94 57.3K openings

since tracking started · 92.71% ±0.94 57.3K openings

91.0% 94.3% 97.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/big-chicken?window=24h) | 6,998 | 94.49% ±2.58 | +1.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/big-chicken?window=7d) | 41.6K | 92.90% ±1.11 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/big-chicken) | 57.3K | 92.71% ±0.94 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/big-chicken?window=all) | 57.3K | 92.71% ±0.94 | +0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 57.7K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| Battle Scarred (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-battle-scarred-holo) | 1 in 1,316 | $7.82 | 1.5% | 57 | 43.9 | 1.30× |
| [Sticker \| Big Clucks (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-big-clucks-foil) | 1 in 313 | $3.59 | 2.9% | 481 | 184.6 | 2.61× |
| [Sticker \| Poorly Drawn Chicken (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-poorly-drawn-chicken-holo) | 1 in 189 | $3.04 | 4.1% | 62 | 305.8 | 0.20× |
| [Sticker \| Fowl Play (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fowl-play-holo) | 1 in 132 | $2.29 | 4.5% | 543 | 438.5 | 1.24× |
| [Sticker \| Cluck (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cluck-holo) | 1 in 132 | $1.53 | 3.0% | 506 | 438.5 | 1.15× |
| [Sticker \| Roosty Boosty (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-roosty-boosty-foil) | 1 in 132 | $1.51 | 2.9% | 570 | 438.5 | 1.30× |
| [Sticker \| Boom (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom-holo) | 1 in 109 | $1.33 | 3.1% | 158 | 530.8 | 0.30× |
| [Sticker \| Hot Wings (Holo) sticker · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hot-wings-holo) | 1 in 100 | $1.19 | 3.0% | 135 | 577.0 | 0.23× |
| [Sticker \| Bonehead (Holo) sticker · Remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bonehead-holo) | 1 in 91 | $1.16 | 3.3% | 134 | 634.7 | 0.21× |
| [Sticker \| Ancient Beast (Foil) sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ancient-beast-foil) | 1 in 91 | $1.10 | 3.1% | 858 | 634.7 | 1.35× |
| [Sticker \| Headless Chicken sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-headless-chicken) | 1 in 91 | $0.90 | 2.5% | 154 | 634.7 | 0.24× |
| [Sticker \| Double Dip (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-double-dip-holo) | 1 in 91 | $0.89 | 2.5% | 723 | 634.7 | 1.14× |
| [Sticker \| Nest Egg (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nest-egg-holo) | 1 in 91 | $0.80 | 2.3% | 721 | 634.7 | 1.14× |
| [Sticker \| Boost (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boost-holo) | 1 in 83 | $0.67 | 2.1% | 795 | 692.4 | 1.15× |
| [Sticker \| Get Clucked sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-get-clucked) | 1 in 83 | $0.54 | 1.7% | 2,772 | 692.4 | 4.00× |
| [Sticker \| Chicken Strike sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-chicken-strike) | 1 in 43 | $0.45 | 2.6% | 1,868 | 1327.1 | 1.41× |
| [Sticker \| Roosty Boosty sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-roosty-boosty) | 1 in 14 | $0.36 | 6.4% | 4,824 | 3981.3 | 1.21× |
| [Sticker \| Heads Up sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-heads-up) | 1 in 19 | $0.36 | 4.9% | 769 | 3058.1 | 0.25× |
| [Sticker \| Eye Contact (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-eye-contact-holo) | 1 in 14 | $0.33 | 5.8% | 4,374 | 3981.3 | 1.10× |
| [Sticker \| Boom sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-boom) | 1 in 16 | $0.31 | 4.8% | 3,831 | 3519.7 | 1.09× |
| [Sticker \| Nest Egg sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nest-egg) | 1 in 26 | $0.29 | 2.8% | 4,176 | 2192.6 | 1.90× |
| [Sticker \| No Time sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-no-time) | 1 in 14 | $0.28 | 4.9% | 4,999 | 3981.3 | 1.26× |
| [Sticker \| 100 Thieves (Foil) \| 2020 RMR sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-100-thieves-foil-2020-rmr) | 1 in 14 | $0.26 | 4.6% | 4,268 | 3981.3 | 1.07× |
| [Sticker \| Door Stuck (Foil) sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-door-stuck-foil) | 1 in 14 | $0.25 | 4.4% | 3,982 | 3981.3 | 1.00× |
| [Sticker \| Speedy T sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-speedy-t) | 1 in 14 | $0.20 | 3.5% | 5,195 | 3981.3 | 1.30× |
| [Sticker \| Hard Cluck Life sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hard-cluck-life) | 1 in 11 | $0.20 | 4.7% | 4,810 | 5293.4 | 0.91× |
| [Sticker \| Dr. Dazzles sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dr-dazzles) | 1 in 12 | $0.18 | 3.9% | 1,217 | 4904.5 | 0.25× |
| [Sticker \| Gen.G (Holo) \| 2020 RMR sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gen-g-holo-2020-rmr) | 10.4% | $0.15 | 4.0% | 4,718 | 6000.8 | 0.79× |

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `skinclub:apiv2/cases/big-chicken`, 12 Nov, 02:51 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=big-chicken)

[Sticker | Fowl Play (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fowl-play-holo) [Đại tá Dũng](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%C4%90%E1%BA%A1i%20t%C3%A1%20D%C5%A9ng) $0.42 $2.29 5.45x 2026-11-12 07:38 UTC

[Sticker | Speedy T sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-speedy-t) [Đại tá Dũng](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%C4%90%E1%BA%A1i%20t%C3%A1%20D%C5%A9ng) $0.42 $0.20 0.48x 2026-11-12 07:37 UTC

[Sticker | Speedy T sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-speedy-t) Hidden $0.42 $0.20 0.48x 2026-11-12 07:37 UTC

[Sticker | Hard Cluck Life sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hard-cluck-life) [Đại tá Dũng](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%C4%90%E1%BA%A1i%20t%C3%A1%20D%C5%A9ng) $0.42 $0.20 0.48x 2026-11-12 07:37 UTC

[Sticker | Gen.G (Holo) | 2020 RMR sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gen-g-holo-2020-rmr) Hidden $0.42 $0.13 0.31x 2026-11-12 07:37 UTC

[Sticker | Fowl Play (Holo) sticker · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fowl-play-holo) [Đại tá Dũng](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%C4%90%E1%BA%A1i%20t%C3%A1%20D%C5%A9ng) $0.42 $2.29 5.45x 2026-11-12 07:37 UTC

[Sticker | Eye Contact (Holo) sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-eye-contact-holo) Hidden $0.42 $0.35 0.83x 2026-11-12 07:37 UTC

[Sticker | Headless Chicken sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-headless-chicken) [Đại tá Dũng](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%C4%90%E1%BA%A1i%20t%C3%A1%20D%C5%A9ng) $0.42 $0.90 2.14x 2026-11-12 07:37 UTC

[Sticker | Gen.G (Holo) | 2020 RMR sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gen-g-holo-2020-rmr) Hidden $0.42 $0.13 0.31x 2026-11-12 07:37 UTC

[Sticker | 100 Thieves (Foil) | 2020 RMR sticker · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-100-thieves-foil-2020-rmr) [Đại tá Dũng](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%C4%90%E1%BA%A1i%20t%C3%A1%20D%C5%A9ng) $0.42 $0.26 0.62x 2026-11-12 07:37 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 12 Nov, 02:51 UTC | $0.42 | 93.00% | 28 |
| 11 Nov, 20:47 UTC | $0.41 | 93.45% | 28 |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | $0.42 | 91.59% | 28 |
| 11 Nov, 08:39 UTC | $0.41 | 93.37% | 28 |
| 11 Nov, 02:35 UTC | $0.41 | 91.56% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 20:31 UTC | $0.41 | 92.78% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $0.41 | 92.43% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $0.42 | 91.77% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $0.42 | 91.71% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $0.43 | 92.19% | 21 |
| 9 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $0.43 | 92.12% | 21 |
| 9 Nov, 08:07 UTC | $0.44 | 91.56% | 21 |
| 9 Nov, 02:03 UTC | $0.43 | 91.63% | 21 |
| 9 Nov, 01:54 UTC | $0.43 | 92.54% | 21 |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $0.43 | 92.98% | 21 |
| 8 Nov, 23:40 UTC | $0.43 | 93.22% | 21 |
| 8 Nov, 17:36 UTC | $0.43 | 92.49% | 21 |
| 8 Nov, 11:31 UTC | $0.43 | 93.22% | 21 |
| 8 Nov, 05:27 UTC | $0.45 | 91.95% | 21 |
| 7 Nov, 23:23 UTC | $0.44 | 93.16% | 21 |
| 7 Nov, 17:19 UTC | $0.44 | 92.74% | 21 |
| 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $0.43 | 93.45% | 21 |
| 7 Nov, 05:10 UTC | $0.45 | 92.21% | 21 |
| 6 Nov, 23:06 UTC | $0.43 | 91.63% | 21 |
| 6 Nov, 17:02 UTC | $0.43 | 93.27% | 21 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $0.43 | 92.55% | 21 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.43 | 92.93% | 21 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $0.44 | 91.74% | 21 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $0.43 | 92.95% | 21 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $0.43 | 93.28% | 21 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Mythical 21.5% Legendary 14.9% #8847ff 1.3% remarkable 0.9% #8847FF 1.0% Remarkable 1.1% Exotic 1.1% High Grade 1.1% Rare 36.4% #4b69ff 5.3% high 15.4% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 93.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.00 on average: an expected loss of $7.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt