--- title: "Budgie Smuggler case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Budgie Smuggler ($7.29) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 107.06% over 1,063 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/budgle-smuggler rendered: 2026-11-12T12:56Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Budgie Smuggler](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/budgle-smuggler) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Budgie Smuggler A case on Skin.club, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/budgle-smuggler?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/budgle-smuggler?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/budgle-smuggler) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/budgle-smuggler?window=all) Price · $7.29 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 107.06% · 1,063 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 51 openings · below min 7 days · 725 openings · below min 30 days · 107.06% ±23.28 1,063 openings since tracking started · 107.06% ±23.28 1,063 openings 55.0% 93.0% 131.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/budgle-smuggler?window=24h) | 51 | 77.61% ±21.9 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/budgle-smuggler?window=7d) | 725 | 96.99% ±21.4 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/budgle-smuggler) | 1,063 | 107.06% ±23.3 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/budgle-smuggler?window=all) | 1,063 | 107.06% ±23.3 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐 (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-minimal-wear) [v1C | TDI](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/v1C%20%7C%20TDI) $7.24 $533 73.63x 2026-11-03 13:47 UTC [Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐 (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-minimal-wear) [drewbie003](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/drewbie003) $7.48 $528 70.56x 2026-11-07 05:45 UTC [Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 壱 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-factory-new) [larp larp sahur](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/larp%20larp%20sahur) $7.29 $458 62.88x 2026-11-04 13:54 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=budgle-smuggler) [Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-factory-new) Hidden $8.00 $2.92 0.37x 2026-11-12 11:33 UTC [Charm | Stitch-Loaded charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-stitch-loaded) Hidden $8.00 $0.10 0.01x 2026-11-12 11:33 UTC [Glock-18 | Coral Bloom (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-coral-bloom-factory-new) Hidden $8.00 $1.17 0.15x 2026-11-12 11:33 UTC [Charm | Stitch-Loaded charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-stitch-loaded) [MrohdTheGod](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/MrohdTheGod) $8.00 $0.10 0.01x 2026-11-12 11:33 UTC [Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-factory-new) Hidden $8.00 $2.92 0.37x 2026-11-12 11:20 UTC [Glock-18 | Coral Bloom (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-coral-bloom-factory-new) Hidden $8.00 $1.17 0.15x 2026-11-12 11:20 UTC [Charm | Stitch-Loaded charm · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-stitch-loaded) Hidden $8.00 $0.11 0.01x 2026-11-12 11:20 UTC [Five-SeveN | Orange Peel (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-factory-new) [MrohdTheGod](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/MrohdTheGod) $8.00 $3.75 0.47x 2026-11-12 11:20 UTC [Five-SeveN | Scumbria (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scumbria-factory-new) Hidden $8.00 $10.19 1.27x 2026-11-12 10:57 UTC [P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-minimal-wear) Hidden $8.00 $17.66 2.21x 2026-11-12 10:57 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $533 (73.63x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 107.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $107.06 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt