--- title: "Butterfly Knives case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Butterfly Knives ($111.77) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 94.47% over 4,553 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/butterfly-knives rendered: 2026-11-12T17:04Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Butterfly Knives](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/butterfly-knives) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Butterfly Knives A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/butterfly-knives?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/butterfly-knives?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/butterfly-knives) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/butterfly-knives?window=all) Price · $111.77 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 94.47% · 4,553 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 903 openings · below min 7 days · 97.02% ±5.33 3,234 openings 30 days · 94.47% ±4.25 4,553 openings since tracking started · 94.47% ±4.25 4,553 openings 80.5% 91.8% 103.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/butterfly-knives?window=24h) | 903 | 90.49% ±9.15 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/butterfly-knives?window=7d) | 3,234 | 97.02% ±5.33 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/butterfly-knives) | 4,553 | 94.47% ±4.25 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/butterfly-knives?window=all) | 4,553 | 94.47% ±4.25 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · Immortal · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $107 $2,337 21.91x 2026-11-10 21:12 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · Immortal · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $111 $2,197 19.87x 2026-11-05 23:25 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · Immortal · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-3) Hidden $106 $2,117 20.00x 2026-11-12 12:19 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · Immortal · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $111 $1,928 17.30x 2026-11-03 21:44 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · Immortal · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $108 $1,767 16.42x 2026-11-10 06:08 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · Immortal · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $110 $1,736 15.80x 2026-11-09 07:57 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) Hidden $110 $1,726 15.64x 2026-11-06 13:59 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · Immortal · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-3) [Y\_U\_H8\_ME:)](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Y_U_H8_ME%3A%29) $107 $1,696 15.88x 2026-11-10 17:54 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · Immortal · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $107 $1,609 15.10x 2026-11-11 16:04 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new) [Nate](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Nate) $107 $1,608 15.07x 2026-11-11 18:29 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=butterfly-knives) [Desert Eagle | Code Red (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-minimal-wear) Hidden $106 $54.68 0.52x 2026-11-12 16:16 UTC [AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) Hidden $106 $56.21 0.53x 2026-11-12 16:16 UTC [Desert Eagle | Code Red (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-minimal-wear) Hidden $106 $54.68 0.52x 2026-11-12 16:16 UTC [M4A1-S | Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) [FSA Pat](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/FSA%20Pat) $106 $58.58 0.55x 2026-11-12 16:16 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Minimal Wear) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-urban-masked-minimal-wear) Hidden $106 $549 5.20x 2026-11-12 15:41 UTC [Desert Eagle | Code Red (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-minimal-wear) [ectasyy](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/ectasyy) $106 $54.68 0.52x 2026-11-12 15:41 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-stained-field-tested) Hidden $106 $548 5.19x 2026-11-12 15:41 UTC [AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) Hidden $106 $56.21 0.53x 2026-11-12 15:41 UTC [AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) Hidden $106 $56.36 0.53x 2026-11-12 15:27 UTC [AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) Hidden $106 $56.36 0.53x 2026-11-12 15:27 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,337 (21.91x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.47 on average: an expected loss of $5.53 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt