--- title: "15% M4A4 case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "15% M4A4 ($9.18) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 131.42% over 88 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-003eb1497 rendered: 2026-11-12T05:34Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [15% M4A4](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-003eb1497) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · 15% M4A4 A case on Skin.club, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-003eb1497?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-003eb1497?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-003eb1497) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-003eb1497?window=all) Price · $9.18 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 131.42% · 88 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 88 openings · below min 30 days · 88 openings · below min since tracking started · 88 openings · below min -0.5% 754.0% 1508.5% **Small sample.** 88 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-003eb1497?window=24h) | 4 | 652.08% ±856.0 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-003eb1497?window=7d) | 88 | 131.42% ±83.7 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-003eb1497) | 88 | 131.42% ±83.7 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-003eb1497?window=all) | 88 | 131.42% ±83.7 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-003eb1497) [M4A4 | Full Throttle (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-full-throttle-minimal-wear) Hidden $9.13 $69.30 7.59x 2026-11-11 22:03 UTC [Sticker | GamerLegion | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gamerlegion-copenhagen-2024) Hidden $9.13 $0.08 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:03 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-factory-new) Hidden $9.13 $169 18.48x 2026-11-11 22:03 UTC [Sticker | GamerLegion | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gamerlegion-copenhagen-2024) [me](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/me) $9.13 $0.08 0.01x 2026-11-11 22:03 UTC [Sticker | GamerLegion | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gamerlegion-copenhagen-2024) Hidden $9.08 $0.04 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:56 UTC [M4A4 | In Living Color (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-minimal-wear) [me](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/me) $9.08 $37.91 4.18x 2026-11-09 23:56 UTC [Sticker | GamerLegion | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gamerlegion-copenhagen-2024) Hidden $9.08 $0.04 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:56 UTC [Sticker | GamerLegion | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gamerlegion-copenhagen-2024) Hidden $9.08 $0.04 0.00x 2026-11-09 23:56 UTC [M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) Hidden $9.16 $33.14 3.62x 2026-11-07 23:39 UTC [Sticker | GamerLegion | Copenhagen 2024 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gamerlegion-copenhagen-2024) [me](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/me) $9.16 $0.04 0.00x 2026-11-07 23:39 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 131.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $131.42 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt