---
title: "Rivera BIG TP! case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Rivera BIG TP! ($1,248.27) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 97.92% over 30 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-038602966
rendered: 2026-11-13T09:18Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Rivera BIG TP!](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-038602966)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Rivera BIG TP!

A case on Skin.club, first seen 5 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-038602966?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-038602966?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-038602966) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-038602966?window=all)

Price · $1,248.27

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 97.92% · 30 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 3 openings · below min

30 days · 30 openings · below min

since tracking started · 30 openings · below min

-0.5% 104.8% 210.0%

**Small sample.** 30 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-038602966?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-038602966?window=7d) | 3 | 0.00% ±0.00 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-038602966) | 30 | 97.92% ±111.6 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-038602966?window=all) | 30 | 97.92% ±111.6 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Howl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-howl-factory-new) Hidden $1,248 $16.3K 13.08x 2026-11-05 23:38 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · Immortal · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-black-pearl) [Code: riveramdz](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Code%3A%20riveramdz) $1,248 $12.5K 10.02x 2026-11-05 23:42 UTC

[AWP | Gungnir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-well-worn) [Code: riveramdz](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Code%3A%20riveramdz) $1,248 $7,825 6.27x 2026-11-05 23:29 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-038602966)

[Sticker | L00m1 | Austin 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-l00m1-austin-2025) Hidden $1,246 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-06 19:05 UTC

[Sticker | L00m1 | Austin 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-l00m1-austin-2025) Hidden $1,246 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-06 19:05 UTC

[Sticker | L00m1 | Austin 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-l00m1-austin-2025) [twitch/riveramdzzz](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/twitch%2Friveramdzzz) $1,246 $0.03 0.00x 2026-11-06 19:05 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $16.3K (13.08x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 97.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $97.92 on average: an expected loss of $2.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
