--- title: "5% xd case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "5% xd ($0.77) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 75.95% over 4,732 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-096d815d4 rendered: 2026-11-12T11:58Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [5% xd](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-096d815d4) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · 5% xd A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-096d815d4?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-096d815d4?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-096d815d4) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-096d815d4?window=all) Price · $0.77 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 75.95% · 4,732 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 66.35% ±23.87 1,397 openings 30 days · 75.95% ±13.49 4,732 openings since tracking started · 75.95% ±13.49 4,732 openings 42.0% 66.5% 91.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-096d815d4?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-096d815d4?window=7d) | 1,397 | 66.35% ±23.9 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-096d815d4) | 4,732 | 75.95% ±13.5 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-096d815d4?window=all) | 4,732 | 75.95% ±13.5 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Shadow Daggers | Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.77 $51.78 67.25x 2026-11-02 23:29 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-battle-scarred) [Daishinkan](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Daishinkan) $0.70 $51.07 72.96x 2026-11-03 22:36 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-battle-scarred) [Daishinkan](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Daishinkan) $0.70 $51.07 72.96x 2026-11-03 22:35 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.70 $51.07 72.96x 2026-11-03 22:35 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.70 $50.83 72.61x 2026-11-03 20:38 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-battle-scarred) [x23a](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/x23a) $0.70 $50.83 72.61x 2026-11-03 20:37 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.70 $50.83 72.61x 2026-11-03 20:34 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.69 $50.78 73.59x 2026-11-07 00:32 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.69 $50.78 73.59x 2026-11-06 23:53 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-lore-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.69 $50.78 73.59x 2026-11-06 23:36 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-096d815d4) [Sealed Graffiti | GGWP (Wire Blue) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-ggwp-wire-blue) Hidden $0.67 $0.02 0.03x 2026-11-11 00:43 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | GGWP (Wire Blue) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-ggwp-wire-blue) Hidden $0.67 $0.02 0.03x 2026-11-11 00:43 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | GGWP (Wire Blue) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-ggwp-wire-blue) Hidden $0.67 $0.02 0.03x 2026-11-11 00:43 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | GGWP (Wire Blue) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-ggwp-wire-blue) [Compatroll](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Compatroll) $0.67 $0.02 0.03x 2026-11-11 00:43 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | GGWP (Wire Blue) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-ggwp-wire-blue) Hidden $0.67 $0.02 0.03x 2026-11-11 00:43 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | GGWP (Wire Blue) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-ggwp-wire-blue) Hidden $0.67 $0.02 0.03x 2026-11-11 00:43 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | GGWP (Wire Blue) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-ggwp-wire-blue) Hidden $0.67 $0.02 0.03x 2026-11-11 00:43 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | GGWP (Wire Blue) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-ggwp-wire-blue) [Compatroll](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Compatroll) $0.67 $0.02 0.03x 2026-11-11 00:43 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | GGWP (Wire Blue) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-ggwp-wire-blue) Hidden $0.67 $0.02 0.03x 2026-11-11 00:43 UTC [Sealed Graffiti | GGWP (Wire Blue) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-ggwp-wire-blue) Hidden $0.67 $0.02 0.03x 2026-11-11 00:43 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $51.78 (67.25x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 75.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $75.95 on average: an expected loss of $24.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt