---
title: "5% chance case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "5% chance ($0.35) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 904.18% over 39 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-114db6392
rendered: 2026-11-12T07:15Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [5% chance](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-114db6392)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · 5% chance

A case on Skin.club, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-114db6392?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-114db6392?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-114db6392) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-114db6392?window=all)

Price · $0.35

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 904.18% · 39 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 39 openings · below min

30 days · 39 openings · below min

since tracking started · 39 openings · below min

-0.5% 1325.8% 2652.0%

**Small sample.** 39 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-114db6392?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-114db6392?window=7d) | 39 | 904.18% ±1747.4 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-114db6392) | 39 | 904.18% ±1747.4 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-114db6392?window=all) | 39 | 904.18% ±1747.4 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) [Use bebop build 872798](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Use%20bebop%20build%20872798) $0.35 $122 347.8x 2026-11-10 09:08 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-114db6392)

[Sticker | Kyojin | Stockholm 2021 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kyojin-stockholm-2021) Hidden $0.35 $0.04 0.11x 2026-11-10 23:47 UTC

[Sticker | Kyojin | Stockholm 2021 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kyojin-stockholm-2021) Hidden $0.35 $0.04 0.11x 2026-11-10 23:47 UTC

[Sticker | Kyojin | Stockholm 2021 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kyojin-stockholm-2021) Hidden $0.35 $0.04 0.11x 2026-11-10 23:47 UTC

[Sticker | Kyojin | Stockholm 2021 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kyojin-stockholm-2021) [DUNCE](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/DUNCE) $0.35 $0.04 0.11x 2026-11-10 23:47 UTC

[Sticker | Kyojin | Stockholm 2021 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kyojin-stockholm-2021) Hidden $0.35 $0.04 0.11x 2026-11-10 09:08 UTC

[Sticker | Kyojin | Stockholm 2021 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kyojin-stockholm-2021) Hidden $0.35 $0.04 0.11x 2026-11-10 09:08 UTC

[Sticker | Kyojin | Stockholm 2021 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kyojin-stockholm-2021) Hidden $0.35 $0.04 0.11x 2026-11-10 09:08 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) [Use bebop build 872798](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Use%20bebop%20build%20872798) $0.35 $122 347.8x 2026-11-10 09:08 UTC

[Sticker | Kyojin | Stockholm 2021 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kyojin-stockholm-2021) Hidden $0.35 $0.04 0.11x 2026-11-09 14:07 UTC

[Sticker | Kyojin | Stockholm 2021 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-kyojin-stockholm-2021) Hidden $0.35 $0.04 0.11x 2026-11-09 14:07 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $122 (347.8x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 904.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $904.18 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
