---
title: "50% BIG KNIFE WIN case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "50% BIG KNIFE WIN ($13.10) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 81.49% over 109 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-124fa760b
rendered: 2026-11-12T03:11Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [50% BIG KNIFE WIN](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-124fa760b)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · 50% BIG KNIFE WIN

A case on Skin.club, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-124fa760b?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-124fa760b?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-124fa760b) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-124fa760b?window=all)

Price · $13.10

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 81.49% · 109 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 69 openings · below min

7 days · 109 openings · below min

30 days · 109 openings · below min

since tracking started · 109 openings · below min

66.0% 85.5% 105.0%

**Small sample.** 109 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-124fa760b?window=24h) | 69 | 85.98% ±18.4 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-124fa760b?window=7d) | 109 | 81.49% ±14.7 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-124fa760b) | 109 | 81.49% ±14.7 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-124fa760b?window=all) | 109 | 81.49% ±14.7 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-124fa760b)

[AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) Hidden $13.24 $20.52 1.55x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC

[AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) Hidden $13.24 $20.52 1.55x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Sorry (Blood Red) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-sorry-blood-red) Hidden $13.24 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Sorry (Blood Red) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-sorry-blood-red) [PMW](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/PMW) $13.24 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC

[AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) Hidden $13.24 $20.52 1.55x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-duality-factory-new) [PMW](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/PMW) $13.24 $20.84 1.57x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Sorry (Blood Red) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-sorry-blood-red) Hidden $13.24 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC

[AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) Hidden $13.24 $20.52 1.55x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Sorry (Blood Red) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-sorry-blood-red) Hidden $13.24 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC

[Sealed Graffiti | Sorry (Blood Red) graffiti · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sealed-graffiti-sorry-blood-red) Hidden $13.24 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 81.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $81.49 on average: an expected loss of $18.51 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
