---
title: "50/50 covert dream case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "50/50 covert dream ($15.05) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 79.25% over 15 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-19d4aa049
rendered: 2026-11-13T00:15Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [50/50 covert dream](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-19d4aa049)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · 50/50 covert dream

A case on Skin.club, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-19d4aa049?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-19d4aa049?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-19d4aa049) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-19d4aa049?window=all)

Price · $15.05

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 79.25% · 15 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 3 openings · below min

7 days · 15 openings · below min

30 days · 15 openings · below min

since tracking started · 15 openings · below min

52.5% 107.5% 162.5%

**Small sample.** 15 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-19d4aa049?window=24h) | 3 | 128.38% ±33.3 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-19d4aa049?window=7d) | 15 | 79.25% ±25.9 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-19d4aa049) | 15 | 79.25% ±25.9 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-19d4aa049?window=all) | 15 | 79.25% ±25.9 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-19d4aa049)

[StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-colony-iv-field-tested) [jaamo](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/jaamo) $15.02 $16.73 1.11x 2026-11-12 21:24 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-head-shot-well-worn) [SATAN666](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/SATAN666) $15.02 $24.39 1.62x 2026-11-12 21:24 UTC

[StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-colony-iv-field-tested) [Katajs 98kg](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Katajs%2098kg) $15.02 $16.73 1.11x 2026-11-12 21:24 UTC

[M4A1-S | Solitude (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-solitude-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.01 $1.12 0.07x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-colony-iv-field-tested) Hidden $15.01 $16.76 1.12x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[M4A1-S | Solitude (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-solitude-battle-scarred) Hidden $15.01 $1.12 0.07x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-colony-iv-field-tested) [Red](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Red) $15.01 $16.76 1.12x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC

[StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-colony-iv-field-tested) [DMT secondacc](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/DMT%20secondacc) $15.05 $16.56 1.10x 2026-11-07 20:10 UTC

[StatTrak™ SG 553 | Colony IV (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-colony-iv-field-tested) [Bot\_VAC!](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Bot_VAC!) $15.05 $16.56 1.10x 2026-11-07 20:10 UTC

[M4A1-S | Solitude (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-solitude-battle-scarred) [DMT secondacc](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/DMT%20secondacc) $15.05 $1.14 0.08x 2026-11-07 20:10 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 79.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $79.25 on average: an expected loss of $20.75 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
