---
title: "nemesis 18% case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "nemesis 18% ($159.70) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 107.38% over 64 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-1c71f1138
rendered: 2026-11-13T08:33Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [nemesis 18%](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-1c71f1138)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · nemesis 18%

A case on Skin.club, first seen 7 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-1c71f1138?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-1c71f1138?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-1c71f1138) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-1c71f1138?window=all)

Price · $159.70

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 107.38% · 64 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 64 openings · below min

30 days · 64 openings · below min

since tracking started · 64 openings · below min

-0.5% 107.5% 215.5%

**Small sample.** 64 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-1c71f1138?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-1c71f1138?window=7d) | 64 | 107.38% ±107.4 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-1c71f1138) | 64 | 107.38% ±107.4 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-1c71f1138?window=all) | 64 | 107.38% ±107.4 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · Immortal · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $160 $4,934 30.90x 2026-11-07 12:55 UTC

[Souvenir AK-47 | Gold Arabesque (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) Hidden $160 $2,204 13.80x 2026-11-07 12:55 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · Immortal · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-ruby) [mi ツ](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/mi%20%E3%83%84) $160 $1,744 10.92x 2026-11-07 12:56 UTC

[MAG-7 | Cinquedea (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cinquedea-field-tested) [mi ツ](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/mi%20%E3%83%84) $160 $596 3.73x 2026-11-07 12:56 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-1c71f1138)

[StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Malachite (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-malachite-field-tested) Hidden $160 $3.97 0.02x 2026-11-07 12:57 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-field-tested) Hidden $160 $65.99 0.41x 2026-11-07 12:57 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Malachite (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-malachite-field-tested) Hidden $160 $3.97 0.02x 2026-11-07 12:57 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Malachite (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-malachite-field-tested) [mi ツ](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/mi%20%E3%83%84) $160 $3.97 0.02x 2026-11-07 12:57 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Malachite (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-malachite-field-tested) Hidden $160 $3.97 0.02x 2026-11-07 12:57 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-field-tested) Hidden $160 $65.99 0.41x 2026-11-07 12:57 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Malachite (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-malachite-field-tested) Hidden $160 $3.97 0.02x 2026-11-07 12:57 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Malachite (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-malachite-field-tested) [mi ツ](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/mi%20%E3%83%84) $160 $3.97 0.02x 2026-11-07 12:57 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Malachite (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-malachite-field-tested) Hidden $160 $3.97 0.02x 2026-11-07 12:56 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Malachite (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-malachite-field-tested) Hidden $160 $3.97 0.02x 2026-11-07 12:56 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $4,934 (30.90x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 107.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $107.38 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
