--- title: "NGOOS'S M4A4 MINIMAL(NEW) on Skin.club: odds & RTP" description: "NGOOS'S M4A4 MINIMAL(NEW) ($0.91) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 94.26% over 156 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-1efd628f4 rendered: 2026-11-12T02:41Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [NGOOS'S M4A4 MINIMAL(NEW)](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-1efd628f4) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · NGOOS'S M4A4 MINIMAL(NEW) A case on Skin.club, first seen 6 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-1efd628f4?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-1efd628f4?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-1efd628f4) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-1efd628f4?window=all) Price · $0.91 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 94.26% · 156 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 80 openings · below min 7 days · 156 openings · below min 30 days · 156 openings · below min since tracking started · 156 openings · below min -0.5% 129.3% 259.0% **Small sample.** 156 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-1efd628f4?window=24h) | 80 | 10.16% ±0.05 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-1efd628f4?window=7d) | 156 | 94.26% ±164.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-1efd628f4) | 156 | 94.26% ±164.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-1efd628f4?window=all) | 156 | 94.26% ±164.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-minimal-wear) [Ayanokoji](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Ayanokoji) $0.90 $117 129.9x 2026-11-10 23:59 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-1efd628f4) [M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-field-tested) Hidden $0.90 $0.10 0.11x 2026-11-11 22:17 UTC [M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-field-tested) [finally somebody](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/finally%20somebody) $0.90 $0.10 0.11x 2026-11-11 22:17 UTC [M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-field-tested) [Shax](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Shax) $0.90 $0.10 0.11x 2026-11-11 22:17 UTC [M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-field-tested) [zSximqn](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/zSximqn) $0.90 $0.10 0.11x 2026-11-11 22:17 UTC [M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-field-tested) Hidden $0.90 $0.09 0.10x 2026-11-11 22:12 UTC [M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-field-tested) Hidden $0.90 $0.09 0.10x 2026-11-11 22:12 UTC [M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-field-tested) Hidden $0.90 $0.09 0.10x 2026-11-11 22:12 UTC [M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-field-tested) [zSximqn](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/zSximqn) $0.90 $0.09 0.10x 2026-11-11 22:12 UTC [M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-field-tested) Hidden $0.89 $0.09 0.10x 2026-11-11 22:03 UTC [M4A4 | Poly Mag (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-field-tested) Hidden $0.89 $0.09 0.10x 2026-11-11 22:03 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $117 (129.9x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.3% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $94.26 on average: an expected loss of $5.74 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt