--- title: "Knife 40% LUCK case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Knife 40% LUCK ($38.52) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 104.44% over 181 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-37f021948 rendered: 2026-11-13T05:03Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [Knife 40% LUCK](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-37f021948) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · Knife 40% LUCK A case on Skin.club, first seen 10 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-37f021948?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-37f021948?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-37f021948) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-37f021948?window=all) Price · $38.52 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 104.44% · 181 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 20 openings · below min 7 days · 181 openings · below min 30 days · 181 openings · below min since tracking started · 181 openings · below min 25.0% 95.0% 165.0% **Small sample.** 181 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-37f021948?window=24h) | 20 | 50.50% ±25.1 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-37f021948?window=7d) | 181 | 104.44% ±59.8 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-37f021948) | 181 | 104.44% ±59.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-37f021948?window=all) | 181 | 104.44% ±59.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · Immortal · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-minimal-wear-phase-4) [v1C | Snipernaldo](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/v1C%20%7C%20Snipernaldo) $38.52 $1,341 34.81x 2026-11-10 10:45 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · Immortal · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $38.52 $987 25.63x 2026-11-10 11:15 UTC [★ Talon Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · Immortal · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-factory-new-phase-2) [v1C | Snipernaldo](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/v1C%20%7C%20Snipernaldo) $38.52 $987 25.63x 2026-11-10 10:45 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-fade-factory-new) Hidden $38.42 $936 24.36x 2026-11-10 11:44 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-37f021948) [PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-wood-block-camo-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.01 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:58 UTC [PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-wood-block-camo-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.01 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:58 UTC [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.01 $42.63 1.12x 2026-11-13 00:58 UTC [PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-wood-block-camo-minimal-wear) [AGENT AK-47](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/AGENT%20AK-47) $38.01 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:58 UTC [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.01 $42.63 1.12x 2026-11-13 00:58 UTC [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.01 $42.63 1.12x 2026-11-13 00:58 UTC [Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.01 $42.63 1.12x 2026-11-13 00:58 UTC [PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-wood-block-camo-minimal-wear) [Luffy](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Luffy) $38.01 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:58 UTC [PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-wood-block-camo-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.01 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:58 UTC [PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Common](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-wood-block-camo-minimal-wear) Hidden $38.01 $0.02 0.00x 2026-11-13 00:58 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $1,341 (34.81x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 104.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $104.44 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt