---
title: "LUCKY case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "LUCKY ($0.83) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 45.42% over 1,466 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-3d2d1def6
rendered: 2026-11-12T08:50Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [LUCKY](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-3d2d1def6)

# [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · LUCKY

A case on Skin.club, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-3d2d1def6?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-3d2d1def6?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-3d2d1def6) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-3d2d1def6?window=all)

Price · $0.83

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 45.42% · 1,466 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

7 days · 272 openings · below min

30 days · 45.42% ±33.35 1,466 openings

since tracking started · 45.42% ±33.35 1,466 openings

-0.5% 39.5% 79.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-3d2d1def6?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-3d2d1def6?window=7d) | 272 | 21.70% ±35.3 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-3d2d1def6) | 1,466 | 45.42% ±33.3 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-3d2d1def6?window=all) | 1,466 | 45.42% ±33.3 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-field-tested) Hidden $0.82 $130 159.1x 2026-11-04 00:50 UTC

[★ Paracord Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $0.82 $108 131.3x 2026-11-03 23:22 UTC

[★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-field-tested) Hidden $0.82 $70.10 85.49x 2026-11-04 02:26 UTC

[USP-S | Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.83 $56.98 68.65x 2026-11-02 23:25 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-minimal-wear) Hidden $0.82 $46.60 56.83x 2026-11-03 23:17 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-3d2d1def6)

[Sticker | Gloves On sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gloves-on) Hidden $0.81 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-07 22:39 UTC

[Sticker | Gloves On sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gloves-on) [Fiery Mammoth](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Fiery%20Mammoth) $0.81 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-07 22:39 UTC

[Sticker | Gloves On sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gloves-on) Hidden $0.81 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-07 22:39 UTC

[Sticker | Gloves On sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gloves-on) Hidden $0.81 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-07 22:39 UTC

[Sticker | Gloves On sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gloves-on) Hidden $0.81 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-07 22:39 UTC

[Sticker | Gloves On sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gloves-on) [Fiery Mammoth](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Fiery%20Mammoth) $0.81 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-07 22:39 UTC

[★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-3rd-commando-company-field-tested) Hidden $0.81 $39.68 48.99x 2026-11-07 22:39 UTC

[Sticker | Gloves On sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gloves-on) Hidden $0.81 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-07 22:39 UTC

[Sticker | Gloves On sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gloves-on) Hidden $0.81 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-07 22:39 UTC

[Sticker | Gloves On sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gloves-on) [Fiery Mammoth](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Fiery%20Mammoth) $0.81 $0.03 0.04x 2026-11-07 22:39 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit $130 (159.1x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 45.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $45.42 on average: an expected loss of $54.58 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
