--- title: "m4a4 s case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "m4a4 s ($1.35) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 20.20% over 315 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4a51a4e49 rendered: 2026-11-12T12:12Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [m4a4 s](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4a51a4e49) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · m4a4 s A case on Skin.club, first seen 9 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4a51a4e49?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4a51a4e49?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4a51a4e49) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4a51a4e49?window=all) Price · $1.35 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 20.20% · 315 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 7 days · 315 openings · below min 30 days · 315 openings · below min since tracking started · 315 openings · below min -0.5% 29.3% 59.0% **Small sample.** 315 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4a51a4e49?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4a51a4e49?window=7d) | 315 | 20.20% ±38.1 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4a51a4e49) | 315 | 20.20% ±38.1 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4a51a4e49?window=all) | 315 | 20.20% ±38.1 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) [Badboy68](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Badboy68) $1.35 $82.71 61.27x 2026-11-09 05:30 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-4a51a4e49) [M249 | Sage Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-well-worn) Hidden $1.35 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:57 UTC [M249 | Sage Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-well-worn) Hidden $1.35 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:57 UTC [M249 | Sage Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-well-worn) Hidden $1.35 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:57 UTC [M249 | Sage Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-well-worn) [DUNCE](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/DUNCE) $1.35 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-11 11:57 UTC [M249 | Sage Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-well-worn) Hidden $1.35 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-10 05:38 UTC [M249 | Sage Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-well-worn) [YNW Tom Cat](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/YNW%20Tom%20Cat) $1.35 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-10 05:38 UTC [M249 | Sage Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-well-worn) Hidden $1.35 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-10 05:38 UTC [M249 | Sage Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-well-worn) Hidden $1.35 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-10 05:38 UTC [M249 | Sage Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-well-worn) Hidden $1.35 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-10 05:38 UTC [M249 | Sage Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · #b0c3d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-sage-camo-well-worn) [YNW Tom Cat](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/YNW%20Tom%20Cat) $1.35 $0.01 0.01x 2026-11-10 05:38 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $82.71 (61.27x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 20.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $20.20 on average: an expected loss of $79.80 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt