--- title: "knife luck case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops" description: "knife luck ($0.35) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 71.43% over 4 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4d11d6453 rendered: 2026-11-12T10:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [knife luck](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4d11d6453) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · knife luck A case on Skin.club, first seen 11 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4d11d6453?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4d11d6453?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4d11d6453) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4d11d6453?window=all) Price · $0.35 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 71.43% · 4 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 4 openings · below min 30 days · 4 openings · below min since tracking started · 4 openings · below min 61.0% 71.5% 82.0% **Small sample.** 4 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4d11d6453?window=24h) | 4 | 71.43% ±9.70 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4d11d6453?window=7d) | 4 | 71.43% ±9.70 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4d11d6453) | 4 | 71.43% ±9.70 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4d11d6453?window=all) | 4 | 71.43% ±9.70 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-4d11d6453) [Sticker | DeadFox | Berlin 2019 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-deadfox-berlin-2019) Hidden $0.35 $0.22 0.63x 2026-11-11 11:23 UTC [Sticker | C4LLM3SU3 (Foil) | Austin 2025 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-c4llm3su3-foil-austin-2025) [\[BiH\] tonisolos](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/%5BBiH%5D%20tonisolos) $0.35 $0.28 0.80x 2026-11-11 11:23 UTC [Sticker | C4LLM3SU3 (Foil) | Austin 2025 sticker · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-c4llm3su3-foil-austin-2025) Hidden $0.35 $0.28 0.80x 2026-11-11 11:23 UTC [Sticker | DeadFox | Berlin 2019 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-deadfox-berlin-2019) Hidden $0.35 $0.22 0.63x 2026-11-11 11:23 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 71.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $71.43 on average: an expected loss of $28.57 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt