--- title: "5% NGOOS'S RIFLE case on Skin.club: odds, RTP & drops" description: "5% NGOOS'S RIFLE ($7.72) on Skin.club, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 109.07% over 2,847 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4d1494fc5 rendered: 2026-11-12T07:07Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) / [5% NGOOS'S RIFLE](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4d1494fc5) # [Skin.club](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/skinclub) · 5% NGOOS'S RIFLE A case on Skin.club, first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Skin.club's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4d1494fc5?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4d1494fc5?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4d1494fc5) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4d1494fc5?window=all) Price · $7.72 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 109.07% · 2,847 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 20 openings · below min 7 days · 85.06% ±41.21 1,811 openings 30 days · 109.07% ±41.19 2,847 openings since tracking started · 109.07% ±41.19 2,847 openings -0.5% 75.3% 151.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4d1494fc5?window=24h) | 20 | 18.82% ±35.2 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4d1494fc5?window=7d) | 1,811 | 85.06% ±41.2 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4d1494fc5) | 2,847 | 109.07% ±41.2 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/skinclub/cc-4d1494fc5?window=all) | 2,847 | 109.07% ±41.2 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Skin.club publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Skin.club's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $9.64 $2,298 238.4x 2026-11-06 08:56 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $9.65 $2,274 235.7x 2026-11-03 23:21 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) [TOLIKA](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/TOLIKA) $9.67 $2,269 234.6x 2026-11-07 17:45 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) [Pickle Rick \<3](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Pickle%20Rick%20%3C3) $9.56 $2,268 237.2x 2026-11-04 15:31 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) [kappa](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/kappa) $9.59 $2,268 236.5x 2026-11-04 14:02 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-minimal-wear) Hidden $9.62 $1,058 109.9x 2026-11-03 18:00 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-minimal-wear) [kappa](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/kappa) $9.56 $1,055 110.3x 2026-11-04 15:14 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-minimal-wear) [kappa](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/kappa) $9.59 $1,055 110.0x 2026-11-04 14:09 UTC [Souvenir M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-minimal-wear) Hidden $9.72 $1,047 107.7x 2026-11-06 14:42 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-minimal-wear) Hidden $9.73 $519 53.36x 2026-11-08 18:25 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=skinclub&case=cc-4d1494fc5) [Sticker | Fnatic | 2020 RMR sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-2020-rmr) Hidden $9.57 $0.08 0.01x 2026-11-12 03:56 UTC [Sticker | Fnatic | 2020 RMR sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-2020-rmr) Hidden $9.57 $0.08 0.01x 2026-11-12 03:56 UTC [Sticker | Fnatic | 2020 RMR sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-2020-rmr) Hidden $9.57 $0.08 0.01x 2026-11-12 03:56 UTC [Sticker | Fnatic | 2020 RMR sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-2020-rmr) [Southall](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Southall) $9.57 $0.08 0.01x 2026-11-12 03:56 UTC [Sticker | Fnatic | 2020 RMR sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-2020-rmr) Hidden $9.57 $0.08 0.01x 2026-11-12 03:56 UTC [Sticker | Fnatic | 2020 RMR sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-2020-rmr) Hidden $9.57 $0.08 0.01x 2026-11-12 03:56 UTC [Sticker | Fnatic | 2020 RMR sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-2020-rmr) Hidden $9.57 $0.08 0.01x 2026-11-12 03:56 UTC [Sticker | Fnatic | 2020 RMR sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-2020-rmr) [Southall](https://gambatracker.com/players/skinclub/Southall) $9.57 $0.08 0.01x 2026-11-12 03:56 UTC [Sticker | Fnatic | 2020 RMR sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-2020-rmr) Hidden $9.57 $0.08 0.01x 2026-11-12 03:55 UTC [Sticker | Fnatic | 2020 RMR sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fnatic-2020-rmr) Hidden $9.57 $0.08 0.01x 2026-11-12 03:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit $2,298 (238.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 109.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $109.07 on average: an expected loss of $0.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt